Tuesday, October 8, 2013

Surf Check

 
Bad news: It's tiny today. Good news: It's picking up tomorrow! Bad news: There's a storm comin'.
 
That's basically it in a nutshell. Just small knee high+ NW/SW today. We've got 10mph SW winds on it from the approaching cold front tonight (more on that below). So we've got small waves, blown out conditions, and showers coming tomorrow. Where's the good news again?
Well... we've got a building NW windswell off our coast today that will arrive Wednesday afternoon. That should be good for chest high waves around here and shoulder high in SD. Windswell of course is created by wind- and in this case the approaching cold front- so we should also have 20mph+ winds from the W tomorrow. Think of the bright side- lots of peaky consistent surf with no one out.
Once the front blows through, we've got some small SW swell created last week that will show on Thursday. About chest high towards the OC. Unfortunately the departing cold front may leave in it's wake strong NW winds that will shred any kind of swell out there. Hoping conditions clean up by Friday and we'll have small leftover SW by then.
Looking further out, it will be pretty small next week. There's no real NW or SW swells to speak of. Hopefully by next weekend (around the 20th) we start to get more SW and NW swells by then from the storms shown on the models above. If we can just keep the cold fronts at bay...
Speaking of cold fronts, the aforementioned 'storm' coming tomorrow is pretty weak but it's our first showers since... well maybe last March it seems like. Look for winds about 20mph tomorrow, showers leaving up to 1/4" of rain by Thursday morning, and hopefully clean conditions by Friday. The weekend should be sunny and mild. The charts maybe show another small cold front early next week but it doesn't look that impressive so don't hold your breath.
Water temps are still a pleasant 68 degrees and tides are all over the place the next few days: about 2' at dawn, up to 6' at noon, and down to 0' at sunset.

Have a good week and enjoy the first storm surf of the season!