Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Surf Check




That was a great run of surf the past 11 days. Lots of fun solid SW swell with burst of NW swell to mix it up. And then mostly sunny skies mid-day and water temps in the high 60's. The only downside has been the consistently strong SW winds. If you didn't crack it early or late, the mid-day sessions were pretty blown out.
No complaints though as there was fun surf for everyone and it lasted a darn long time. Today we have fading SW swell and another burst of NW windswell. The low tide this morning is draining the swells and the overcast conditions aren't helping. Still have some shoulder high sets from the combo swells. Wind is currently out of the SE at 5 and the water temps are holding at 68. Clouds may stick around all day as we have a weak cold front coming through (more on that below). Tides the next few days are about -1' at sunrise, up to 4' mid-afternoon, and down to 2' at sunset.
Our weather the next few days looks to be getting better- both from a sun standpoint and SW wind standpoint. Currently we have a weak cold front moving through the mountain west and it's kicking up some NW winds in in our outer waters- resulting in more windswell, low clouds, and S winds again for us. High pressure will start to build tomorrow and the windswell will slowly fade as the sun starts to heat things up. By the weekend we should have temps in the mid to high 70's. The only fly in the ointment is if the high pressure will trap the low clouds/fog at the coast which would result in sunny skies about a mile inland but overcast conditions right at the beach.
As far as the surf goes, we've got NW windswell on tap the next couple days but as high pressure starts to take control, the windswell will begin to back off. The southern hemisphere last week was quiet too and the current SW will fade the next few days. Long story short, the 2nd half of this week into the weekend should be pretty small around here.
There's some N windswell on the charts towards early next week but the angle is almost NE- basically away from us- so I don't expect anything from this source later this week.

Good news is that the models are showing a solid storm forming in the southern hemisphere in a couple days. Bad news is that the swell won't show until around June 6th- almost 10 days from now. So until then, we're left with dying SW/NW today and pretty small conditions this weekend.
Of note is the tropics stirring things up again. We just had tropical storm Alvin flare up a couple weeks ago now we have 2 disturbances off mainland Mexico- one of which may turn into a tropical storm or hurricane. Even if it does turn into a hurricane, it would have to be strong and aim N towards us to give us any sort of waves- pretty early in the season for that to happen. It's at least some sort of hope though since the north Pacific and south Pacific are looking pretty dormant at this point the next few days.