Wet, wild, and windy.
SURF:
What don't we have going on right now?! Crazy tide swings, lots of rain, junky surf, cold air temperatures, polluted water, and whatever else Mother Nature can throw at us.
FORECAST:
After a junky weekend of surf... we get more junk early next week. High pressure has retreated and the storm door is open. Models don't show any strong storms barreling through us but just enough to give us showers, junky conditions, and chest high NW. Models though do have a couple storms on the charts and we should get a solid NW towards Tuesday night for shoulder high waves in north county SD and head high+ waves in SD. Then a slightly bigger storm sends swell our way towards next Friday for overhead sets in north county SD and a few feet overhead in SD. All the while we get weak storms passing through our area. We may get a quick window of clean conditions between storms- or we may not. It will be tricky next week trying to find windows of clean conditions.
WEATHER:
Solid storm yesterday. We got almost twice the rain we expected. We have another weaker storm coming through tonight for 1/4" to 1/2" of rain forecasted. After that rolls through, we get showers yet again on Sunday from another system for almost 1/4" of rain. And the storm door stays open next week as forecasted by the models. Monday we get some sunny clearing conditions but then another weak storm comes in on Tuesday night. Thursday looks to be clearing and cool and then ANOTHER weak front moves through on Friday if the models hold up. A lot can change between now and then but it looks like showers off and on for the near future.
BEST BET:
Tough call- pretty much junky all week. And when we get new swells showing up (late Tuesday and next Friday) we get weak storms along with it! I guess junky surf is better than no surf.
NEWS OF THE WEEK:
As mentioned above, the storm yesterday was only forecasted to give us 3/4" of rain but San Diego got twice that at 1.5". Sure helps our pseudo El Nino season. Luckily for us the storm door is forecasted to stay open the next 7 days and we've got a few week cold fronts coming through every few days. We potentially could get another 1" of rain by the time it's all over. So where are we at as of today?
-John Wayne Airport (Newport Beach): 1.74", 62% of normal (2.82" is normal)
-Oceanside Airport: 2.51", 91% of normal (2.76" is normal)
-Lindbergh Field (San Diego): 2.54", 109% of normal (2.34" is normal)
This last storm came a little more south than expected and San Diego county got more rain than Orange County (hence the higher totals so far this year). If we get another 1" this week, we should be well over our averages and off to a good start to the rainy season.
BEST OF THE BLOG:
PIC OF THE WEEK:
One of North America's least understood and frustrating surfing locations is the north east. And I mean the north north east. Like Nova Scotia. Unlimited potential with countless points, bays, sandbars, rivermouths- it's just missing consistent surf to make it world class. Like maddening inconsistency- and add in the winter is brutally cold with snow measured in feet, not inches and extreme tide swings- it's unbelievable anyone wants to surf up there. I actually knew a guy back in the day from San Diego who bought a house up there and waited out the summer months for surf. Did nothing bat sat and waited in his house. Literally. Weeks on end would go by with not even a wave to longboard. Then everything would light up like a Christmas tree and it was worth the wait. Don't know what happened to the guy, probably living out his own version of The Shining, but man was he dedicated. For more great shots of the Canuck line ups, check out TransWorld Surf's pics here.
Keep Surfing,
Michael W. Glenn
Auspicious
Harboring McAfee
Selling a Line of Ginja Ninja Action Figures at Walmart
