THE Surf Report- Early Edition

Stereotypical spring.

SURF:

Spring arrived this week just in time for showers and windy conditions. Any surf we had from the SW/NW was blown to bits unfortunately. This evening the winds started to back off and if you hit it after work, you found a couple fun chest high+ corners. For tomorrow, both swells back off but we'll still have chest high sets from the combo swell and clean conditions. For Saturday, spring rears it's ugly head again and we've got a weak cold front forecasted with showers. Looks feeble like the 'storm' yesterday but it may just be enough for windy conditions.

We also have a small SW showing up and some NW windswell. Sunday looks to be chest high again and breezy from the NW. All in all a little bit of surf this weekend but conditions are suspect.

Water temps are in the low 60's and tides the next few days are 5' at sunrise, down to -1' mid-afternoon and up to 4' at sunset.

FORECAST:
Next week remains murky at best. No real storms to speak of but off and on cold fronts may make the surf a mess. First up, a weak front comes through on Monday afternoon the 27th to give us a slight chance of showers and breezy conditions (just like yesterday).

Surf will be overhead from the NW but bumpy of course. Things should clean up by Tuesday as NW/SW lingers in the background.

Models then show another weak front moving through on Wednesday which will clear out by Thursday for more overhead NW by Friday along with new SW (did you get all that)? The SW will last through the weekend with shoulder high waves.

And further out, models show one more NW in early April and more SW by the end of the first week. All in all a busy end to the month for waves and weather. Make sure to keep up to date on the changing conditions at Twitter/North County Surf.

WEATHER:

Winter won't go away quietly. Even though the powerful storms will stay in the NW, we'll still get the tail end down here for springtime showers and breezy conditions. Look for nice weather tomorrow, then a weak cold front Saturday, then nice Sunday, then another weak front Monday. THEN... nice Tuesday and another weak front Wednesday and hopefully sunny again for the end of the week! In a nutshell- off and on the next 7 days.

BEST BET:
In-between all the weak cold fronts! Keep your fingers crossed for tomorrow, Sunday, Tuesday, and Thursday.

NEWS OF THE WEEK:

Whether you believe in man-made global warming or just the natural cycles of the climatology, fact is we’re warmer than we should be. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported this week that Earth had it’s 2nd warmest February, season and year to date, on record. Here's the scoop:

February:
February 2017’s average global temperature was 1.76 degrees F above the 20th-century average of 53.9 degrees, according to scientists from NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information. This was the second warmest February in the 1880-2017 record, behind 2016.

Season:
The average temperature from December through February was 1.60 degrees F above the 20th-century average of 53.8 degrees. This was the second warmest for this period, just behind 2015-2016.

Year to date:
The year to date (January through February 2017) average temperature was 1.69 degrees F above the 20th-century average of 53.8 degrees. This was the second-warmest first two months of the year in the record, behind last year.

Other notable climate events and facts around the world last month included:

• Continued record-low sea ice extent at the poles: The average Arctic sea ice extent was 7.6 percent below the 1981-2010 average for February, and the average Antarctic sea ice extent was 24.4 percent below average. Both regions logged the smallest February sea ice extent since satellite records began in 1979.

• Above-average snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere: The Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent was the 22nd largest in the 51-year record. North America had its 15th smallest, while Eurasia had its 19th largest.

• Warmer-than-average lands and oceans: Both the globally averaged sea surface temperature and the land surface temperature ranked as second highest on record for February, the December-to-February season and the year to date.

• Continents experienced temperature highs and lows: South America had its third warmest February on record; North America, its fourth; Asia, it’s eighth; Africa, its 10th; Europe, its 17th (tied with 1997); and Oceania, its 25th.

Long story short- if you don’t like the heat- get out of the kitchen! Which I guess means hop on one of those fancy new flights to Mars.

PIC OF THE WEEK:

I know you've probably seen Chris Burkard's work by now, but no matter how many times you've seen it, it's still pretty darn amazing. Yes that's really the Northern Lights. Yes that's a rideable surf spot in the snow. And what I really can't believe- an uncrowded line up in today's world.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
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