Thursday, August 24, 2017

THE Surf Report- Early Edition


So here we are.

SURF:


Not a whole lot going on the past week. We actually had a little more S than I expected last weekend (chest high vs. waist high) but not much after that. The weather hasn't cooperated either with this weird May Gray hanging around in August.


The surf this weekend won't be much better as we have a touch of tiny Hurricane Kenneth swell in the water, a little boost in NW windswell, and background new S groundswell. Add all that up and you get waist high waves again. At least the weather will be nice (more on that below).


Water temps are a little cooler than normal at 68 due to all the cloud cover (but should warm up mid-week with more sunshine) and tides the next few days are 1' at sunrise, up to 5' after lunch, and down again to 1' at sunset.

FORECAST:
The S groundswell mentioned above starts to creep up during the week but it's still not much. Look for chest high sets in far N county SD and the OC by Wednesday and peaks Thursday.


Models show a storm off Antarctica taking shape tomorrow and we hope to get a little shot of SW chest high swell next weekend. But until then, nothing exciting in the swell department. When we finally get a big storm on the charts, I think my head will explode from excitement. Make sure to keep up to date on the waves & weather at Twitter/North County Surf. 

WEATHER:


June Gloom has made a mess of this month so far. So much for summer. As you can tell, I'm not a big fan of drizzle in August. Might as well live in Seattle. Luckily for us though models show high pressure setting up this weekend and we should have warm weather by Saturday- maybe in the mid-80's. A little monsoon moisture may get wrapped up in the high pressure and the mountains/deserts could get a stray thunderstorm too. For next week, forecast charts show the high sticking around and we may get warm weather through next weekend. I may need to turn on my sprinklers again! Never thought I'd hear myself say that in the middle of summer.

BEST BET:
Late next week with just a touch more small S groundswell and great weather.

NEWS OF THE WEEK:


Judging by our weather lately, you wouldn’t believe the earth has been warmer than normal. July in particular this year was almost an all-time record breaker. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, earth’s warmest month is typically July, when the strong mid-summer sun heats up large Northern Hemisphere land masses and adjacent coastal areas. In fact, July 2017 was not only the warmest month of this year, but also the second warmest July on record, trailing the record set in 2016. Let’s have a look at NOAA’s analysis:

July 2017
The average global temperature in July was 1.49 degrees F above the 20th-century average of 60.4 degrees, according to scientists from NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information. This was the second-highest average temperature for July in the 138-year climate record, trailing last year. July 2017 marked the 41st consecutive July and the 391th consecutive month with temperatures at least nominally above the 20th-century average.

Year to date | January through July 2017
The year-to-date average temperature was 1.62 degrees F above the 20th-century average of 56.9 degrees. This was the second-warmest for this period, a quarter of a degree behind the record set in 2016.

Other notable climate events and facts around the world last month included:

• Record and near-record sea ice at the poles: The average Arctic sea ice extent (coverage) for July was 16.1 percent below the 1981-2010 average, the fifth smallest for the month since satellite records began in 1979. The average Antarctic sea ice extent was 4.5 percent below average, the smallest on record for July.

• Warmer-than-average lands and oceans: The globally averaged land-surface temperature (warmest for the month of July) and the sea-surface temperature (third warmest for July) ranked second highest on record for the year to date.

• Africa and Oceania led the continents in warmth rankings: Africa and Oceania had their warmest July on record; North America (tied with 2016) and Asia, had their 5th; South America, its seventh; and Europe, its 17th.

With all this record breaking weather, when are we going to get some record breaking surf around here?!

PIC OF THE WEEK:


Finally put a pool in for the kids but all they want to do is surf the wave in my backyard instead! What a waste of $100 grand.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
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