Thursday, November 23, 2017

THE Surf Report- Early Edition


Can’t believe I’m awake.

SURF:


I’ll make it quick here tonight as turkey makes… me … sleepy. Beautiful weather again this week and not much surf. 


Had a little NW fill in today for chest high sets at high tide and it continues to fill in overnight.


We also have a small SW filling in tomorrow and we’ll have fun chest high combo swell for the weekend. Weather stays nice tomorrow and Saturday then we have a weak cold front moving through Sunday/Monday- so winds may increase slightly as well as a return of low clouds- so the dreamy conditions will deteriorate slightly. 


Water temps have dropped a lot due to the AM offshore winds- down to the high 50’s- and tides this weekend are 3’ at sunrise, up to 4’ after lunch, and down to 2’ at sunset. 

FORECAST:
Monday starts off like a lamb then by the afternoon it comes in like a lion. 


A good storm forming in the Aleutians this weekend will send solid overhead sets to SD Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning. 


That drops off pretty quickly by Wednesday but by Friday we have more chest high NW arriving. 


Forecast charts also show more NW arriving around 12/3 with fun SW at the same time for shoulder high swell. Looks to be fun the next 10 days with late Monday/early Tuesday being the biggest.

WEATHER:


One last day of hot weather tomorrow will be replaced Sunday/Monday by cooler temps around 70 and low clouds. High pressure will set up again Tuesday through Thursday for a moderate Santa Ana offshore wind event and temps back in the high 80’s. Models are hinting at cooler weather again late next weekend.  If anything changes between now and then, make sure to keep up to date on the waves and weather at Twitter/North County Surf. 

BEST BET:
Tuesday morning with solid NW and offshore winds.

NEWS OF THE WEEK:


As a kid, I always seemed to notice that the usual weather pattern (if there is such a thing) for this time of year is a weak cold front with light precipitation rolling through around mid-October (I remember this because I used to freak that Halloween could get rained out), then a couple more could fronts in November (usually one solid one), then a few storms in December, and then the bulk of our rainy season January through March. Why do I mention this? Because we really haven’t received any rain in October or November this year- which should be expected for our La Nina weather pattern this season. So where do we stand for precip so far this season (which is from October 1st to September 30th)?

· Newport Beach: 0” so far. Normal is 1.57”. FYI: Total expected for the season is 13.3”
· Oceanside: 0.01” so far. Normal is 0.66”. Total expected is 13.66”
· San Diego: 0” so far. Normal is 0.30”. Total expected is 10.34”

So there you have it. A bad start to our rainy season. Sure glad we had a couple good years in ’15 and ’16 to fill those reservoirs.

PIC OF THE WEEK:


I’m thankful for empty lineups. Happy Thanksgiving everyone.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
Beloved
Thankful I’m Not A Turkey

Surfer Poll Runner-Up ’84-’88, ’92-’93, ’97, ’99, ’01-’07, ’09, ’11, ’13, ’15-‘17