Thursday, June 4, 2020

THE Surf Report- Early Edition


More surf coming! BUT...

SURF:
Hope you got some waves this week. 


Plenty of SW to start the week and NW filled in mid-week too for rideable waves everywhere. That NW though brought a significant drop in water temps (if you didn't know already) and buoys in San Diego reported 59 degrees on Tuesday. In June no less. Ouch. The wind though has switched to the S today and is pooling up our warm water again along the Southern California coastline and temps have rebounded to the mid-60's thankfully. 

 

As far as the surf goes this weekend, we had more moderate SW swell filling in today for chest high sets and that builds on Friday/Saturday for head high surf. BUT... models show a weak late season low pressure system moving through Friday evening (showers?) and blowing through this weekend. As it does, that will create 3 things: 
  1. WNW winds for bumpy conditions late Saturday into Sunday
  2. More NW windswell to join the SW for overhead surf late Sunday into Monday morning
  3. A drop again in our water temps
I have to admit though, on the charts, this low pressure system looks really weak, but the forecast models keep saying it's going to be windy. I hope they're wrong. Because of the uncertainty, I won't be activating the Emergency Boardriding System, even though there will be plenty of surf. As far as the sun/water temps/tides go, here's what you need to know:
  • Sunrise and sunset are:
    • 5:41 AM sunrise  
    • 7:55 PM sunset
  • Water temps are 65 but could drop back to high 50's if the forecasted NW winds arrive by Sunday
  • And tides are a roller coaster this weekend:
    • -1' at sunrise
    • 3.5' mid-day
    • 2' late afternoon
    • 5' at sunset
FORECAST:


The SW groundswell and NW windswell from the weekend is backed up by another one late Sunday into Monday morning for well overhead surf before the NW drops quickly through the day. By Tuesday morning, we still have solid SW for head high surf and that trends down through the week. By next weekend, we just have waist high+ SW/NW. 


Charts though do show more storms off Antarctica this weekend which may give us more shoulder high SW around the 18th. 

BEST BET:
Friday afternoon/Saturday morning before the winds kick in. Or Monday afternoon/Tuesday morning with cleaner conditions and leftover fun SW. 

WEATHER:


The low pressure mentioned above has brought June Gloom to our coastline and that will stick around through Sunday morning. There may even be a slight chance of showers on Friday evening/Saturday morning. Didn't expect to see that in June. High pressure is expected to show up early in the week and we should have plenty of sun and above average temps by mid-week for classic summer like conditions. Low clouds may return next weekend, so enjoy the beach weather mid-week while you can. Make sure to check out Twitter/North County Surf if anything changes between now and then.
NEWS OF THE WEEK:


With the weak cold front moving through on Saturday and the potential of a slower than average hurricane season on tap, can we all agree our rainy season is over? I don't think the potential showers this weekend will amount to anything and if we don't expect much tropical moisture to reach Southern California this summer, let's just assume these are the final numbers for our rainy season which runs from October 1st to September 30th:
  • Newport Beach: 12.76" this season. Normal for the entire year is 13.3". 98% of average. 
  • Oceanside: 17.25" this season. Normal for the entire year is 13.66". 132% of average.
  • San Diego: 13.46 this season. Normal for the entire year is 10.34. 134% of average.
  • And for comparison's sake:
    • Palm Springs: 5.79" this season. Normal for the entire year is 5.74". 122% of average.
    • San Francisco: 9.18" this season. Normal for the entire year is 20.56". 45% of average.
Considering last winter was a neutral weather pattern (neither La Nina or El Nino), it was good to see Southern California's rainfall totals mostly above average. And shocking to see Northern California well below average for rainfall. Generally deserts are defined as areas that receive an average annual rainfall of less than 10 inches. So is San Francisco now considered a desert? Not really, but eye opening. But that's weather for you- you'll never know what you're going to get...

PIC OF THE WEEK:


To get to Robert Plants' favorite surf spot, you have to go over the hills and far away...

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
Brawny
Quality Family Time Last Night Playing Monopoly On Xbox
Surf Is So Crowded Now That I Don't Go Left, Right, Or Even Straight- I Surf The Back Of Waves