High Pressure/Low Surf
SURF:
Let's clear things up- there's a difference between offshore winds and Santa Ana winds. Both come from the same direction (NE) but have different impacts. Offshore winds may happen after the passing of cold front, the resulting cold front may create swells for us to ride, and we may get beneficial rains. Santa Anas on the other hand... usually occur from a large high pressure covering the W coast and the result is a big storm block for the southern half of the state. Meaning: Large surf is aimed N of us, rain is nowhere in sight (increasing our wildfire threat), and the strong N winds drop our water temps. Take a guess if I'm a fan of Santa Anas or not. Good guess. So what does that mean for our upcoming weekend? Thank goodness this doesn't apply to the Southern Hemisphere.
We've got a small SW continuing tomorrow which will be joined by more NW windswell for chest high sets in SD and the OC. Sunday looks small in the waist high+ range. And here's the tides, sun, and water temps for the next few days:
- Sunrise and sunset:
- 6:17 AM sunrise
- 4:48 PM sunset
- With the lack of clouds, it shouldn't be a problem to paddle out at 6 am and paddle in at 5pm
- Water temps are cooler no thanks to the Santa Ana N winds. Look for 60 at most beaches
- And tides are simple this weekend:
- 5' at sunrise
- 1.5' at lunch
- and back to 4.5' at sunset
FORECAST:
Looks like more the same next week- nothing big- but still fun and clean weather.
Monday we see a small reinforcement out of the SSW for chest high sets towards the OC.
On its heels is another chest high NW on Wednesday with better waves towards SD. Long term, I'm hoping high pressure breaks down Thanksgiving week and we see bigger NW swells and hopefully a chance of showers.
WEATHER:
The rain last month seems like years ago. The good start to our rainy season is on hold for now as high pressure and Santa Ana conditions make tee shirts and shorts mandatory. Looks like we'll have a return of low clouds by Monday. Most of next week looks cooler and seasonal- and still no rain. If anything changes between now and then, make sure to follow North County Surf on Twitter!
BEST BET:
Friday with small but fun combo swell most everywhere, Monday in the OC with small but fun SSW swell, or Wednesday in SD with small but fun NW swell.
NEWS OF THE WEEK:
As we wait for November 'fall' weather to arrive, here's what happened in our atmosphere on this date in history...
- 1997: An EF1 tornado touched down near the Irvine Spectrum Center, and continued on the ground for a quarter mile. The tornado wreaked havoc on a construction site and damaged numerous cars.
- 1994: An F0 tornado in Portola Hills knocked a mobile home on its side. Heavy rain also occurred in Orange County, resulting in multiple mudslides and damage to 15 homes.
- 1993: An F0 tornado in Portola Hills (near Tustin) knocked a mobile home on its side. Rain, though not especially intense, caused several debris flows from recent burn scars. In Laguna Beach, 15 homes were damaged, with six suffering extensive damage.
- 1985: Heavy rain from a cold, slow-moving storm with embedded thunderstorms started on this day and ended on 11/13. It produced 4.25 inches in Julian, 3.42 inches in La Mesa, 2.63 inches in SDSU, 2.44 inches in Vista, 2.40 inches in Lemon Grove, 2.39 inches in Alpine, 2.19 inches in Poway, 2.13 inches in Chula Vista, and 1.84 inches in San Diego. Flooding occurred in Spring Valley and Mission Valley, with erosion damage in La Mesa. The storm dropped 14 inches of snow in Mt. Laguna, five inches in Julian and through the San Gabriel Mountains. Light snow fell as low as Alpine (1800 feet elevation).
- 1982: Lake Cuyamaca reported a two- day snowfall total of 22.5 inches.
- 1978: 12 inches of snow fell in Palomar Mountain, the greatest daily snowfall on record for November.
- 1954: 1.79 inches of rain fell in Victorville, the greatest daily amount on record for November. Riverside got 2.11 inches, also a daily record for the month.
- 1950: It was 30° in Santa Ana, the first date of the season with a freezing temperature on record. It also marks the lowest November temperature on record. This also occurred the next day on 11/12, on 11/24/1952, and on 11/30/1948.
PIC OF THE WEEK:
If you had to scale down this cliff, just to get to this left point, would you? Dumb question; of course you would...
Keep Surfing,
Michael W. Glenn
Cavalier
Best Man At The Getty Wedding
Just Completed The 'So-Cal Compass Slam': Surfed Blacks on a N swell, Uppers on a W, Malibu on a S, and Avalon on an E
Michael W. Glenn
Cavalier
Best Man At The Getty Wedding
Just Completed The 'So-Cal Compass Slam': Surfed Blacks on a N swell, Uppers on a W, Malibu on a S, and Avalon on an E
