THE Surf Report- Late Edition

Chillaxin'

SURF:
4th of July weekend couldn't have been better- solid S swell, warm water, and tropical clouds overhead. That's what makes this country great!

The S lasted longer than expected too with the OC seeing fun waves until mid-week. Today is pretty much flat with mostly sunny skies and wind out of the WSW at 10. At least the water is still hovering around the mid-70's. Luckily for us the nice weather will stick around this weekend, the warm water temps will hold, and we've got a little combo swell filling in this weekend.

First up is a small storm in Antarctica that is sending us fun chest high sets from the SW late Saturday. Look for it to peak on Sunday.

We also have NW winds blowing in the outer waters today that will give us waist high NW windswell on Sunday. The result is small surf tomorrow but fun waist-chest high combo surf on Sunday.

Tides the next few days are 0' at sunrise, up to 4.5' at 10:30am, down to 1' at 4pm, and back up to 4' at sunset. Make sure to keep up to date on the waves/weather at Twitter/North County Surf.

FORECAST:
The fun little combo swell rolls into Monday and starts to fade by Tuesday.

On it's heels though is more SW swell from a good storm in the southern hemisphere. Look for chest high sets by Tuesday afternoon and shoulder high sets in far north SD county on Wednesday. The OC sees head high+ waves.

Models have another small storm reorganizing in the wake of the Wednesday swell and we should get more chest high SW surf towards next Sunday (and head high in the OC). No NW on the charts unfortunately to break up the SW lines but all in all some waves the 2nd half of next week.

WEATHER:

The warm water temps are influencing a couple things lately- the 'June Gloom' is having a hard time sticking around and the low temps at night are almost 70 degrees since the warm air coming off the ocean makes it feel tropical around here. High pressure will strengthen slightly this weekend with tropical clouds probably arriving late Sunday or Monday. The low clouds in the night/mornings will also break up a little bit earlier too- so instead of waiting until mid-morning for the sun at the beach, you may see it around 7am by Monday. Good conditions will last at least until mid-week.

BEST BET:
Sunday will have a fun little combo swell but Wednesday's southern hemi looks to be a little bigger. Regardless, the water's warm and the sun's out.

NEWS OF THE WEEK:
All the talk of El Nino is usually centered around the winter months and rightfully so. That's when the biggest surf and most destruction occurs; usually from beach erosion, flooding, or mudslides. But we can't overlook the great start we've had this summer with the building weather phenomenon. We’ve already had the strongest hurricane on record for May (Amanda), the quickest intensification of a hurricane on record (Cristina went from a tropical storm to a category 4 in about 24 hours), and it's the first time we’ve had two category 4 hurricanes before the month of July even started. Our water temps are also ridiculously warm- and that's been the case since early June. Currently most beaches are between 73-75 degrees from L.A. to the Mexican border. The average this time of year is around 67-69, so you can see we're already 5 degrees warmer than usual. And the warmest water temps normally peak around early to mid-August, so we should have 4 more weeks of the ocean warming up for us. And with the warmer than usual water, the fish have been a bit confused. Did you see the millions of anchovies this week off Scripps Pier in La Jolla? If not, have a look...

Amazing. Best part is around the 34 second mark; you can see the anchovies spreading in a circle to move away from a leopard shark. So with all the warm water, how come we haven't gotten much hurricane surf this summer? Well, summer just technically started 3 weeks ago, so the water temps haven't peaked yet as mentioned above.

There's also a pool of cool water (relatively speaking to hurricane development) off Baja, so when a storm forms off mainland Mexico and moves into our swell window, it starts to die. So when will that pool of cold water start to warm up? Hopefully soon.

The real bulk of the hurricanes happen mid-July to mid-September so we haven't even hit the meat of it yet.

Also, worldwide, hurricane activity peaks in early September. So we still have a shot of getting solid hurricane surf in the next couple of months here. So hang in there! Things will only get better. And we're not even talking about the El Nino this winter!

PIC OF THE WEEK:

Since the Chargers aren't back in action yet, the Padres stink as usual, hoops are hibernating, US soccer is out of the World Cup, and the surf is flat today, then there's no excuse not to watch the J-Bay contest at aspworldtour.com. Arguably the world's best right hand point, this place begs for on the rail surfing. So enjoy the Pic of the Week and reminisce what Rincon was like back in the early 1900's.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
Fabled
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