Thursday, March 10, 2016

THE Surf Report- Early Edition


Beware the ides of March.

SURF:

Lots of lump and bump last weekend has turned in to clean fun conditions the past couple days. New SW swell filled in today and met up with leftover NW windswell for peaks up and down the coast. Tomorrow morning should be fun as the NW and SW swells stay steady for shoulder high waves but by the evening we've got a fast moving storm that makes conditions a mess.
Saturday we're back to overhead+ WNW but it's also windy and showery. Sunday the swell backs off but conditions are suspect. Beware the ides of March. Water temps dropped slightly with last weekend's windy storm; we're down to 61 degrees.
And tides the next few days are 0' at sunrise, up to 5' at lunch, and back down to 0' at sunset.

FORECAST:
Low pressure is forecasted to sit on top of us to start the week so we may have some funky clouds/winds Monday/Tuesday.
New NW swell should fill in too but it’s pretty steep so I only expect head high+ surf.
Further out, we had a storm in the southern hemisphere a few days ago and we should see some new chest high SW arrive Tuesday morning.
After that things slow down from the northern and southern hemisphere and we may not see any swell until the first day of spring on the 21st.

WEATHER:

Going to have a little fun tomorrow night with a fast moving storm but we should only get 1/3” of rain which won’t make much of a dent in our drought situation. Low pressure lingers all weekend and we should have cool moist conditions. No real rain makers on tap from Sunday to Tuesday but maybe a stray shower here and there. High pressure sets up shop mid-week and we’ll have temps close to 80 and light offshore winds. Too bad there won’t be any surf. Make sure to keep up to date on the conditions at Twitter/North County Surf. 

BEST BET:
Tomorrow morning is my verdict: Fun NW/SW and fairly good conditions. Or next Tuesday if high pressure sets up early and we have leftover NW and smaller building SW.

NEWS OF THE WEEK:

Now that El Nino has arrived (sort of) 2 weeks before the start of spring, where do we stand with our rain for the season? If we look at our typical 'wet' season from October 1st to today, here's the results so far:

-Newport Beach 4.41". 44% of normal
-Oceanside 5.89". 54% of normal
-San Diego 6.68". 83% or normal

Tomorrow night's rain isn't expected to do much and high pressure next week just makes it worse. What was supposed to be a 'Godzilla' El Nino for rain has turned out to be Barney the dinosaur. I still expect to get April showers but I don't think we'll end up above average. The desalination plant is looking like a good investment right now. Luckily for us, 30% of our water comes from the Sierra snow pack and they happen to be 114% of normal. So that's good news. But it doesn't do much for our dry hillsides down here in so-Cal.

PIC OF THE WEEK:

If I didn't live in north county, I'd live here. Cool little town, warm water, and a pretty good right to keep me satisfied. If they don't have a Dunkin' Donuts though, that's a deal breaker.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
Chairman of the Board
Just Hired A Personal Assistant
Bust My Stick I Shred So Bad