THE Surf Report- Early Edition

It's finally here! (Part 2)

SURF:

After our conversation last week, I finally figured out what 'it' is. 'It' is good times. The way surfing should be: Solid swell, great beach weather, and water temps in the low 70's. Now if I could just do something about those crowds...

Anyway, another solid storm off Antarctica last week has sent us overhead SW swell for the weekend. Look for more overhead waves tomorrow (and a foot bigger Saturday as well as sets close to 10' in the OC) and throw in some great beach weather. Surf starts to drop on Sunday but we'll still have overhead sets.

Beware the low tides in the AM though the next few days as we have 0' at sunrise, up to 4' after lunch, and down to 2' at sunset. Make sure to clear your schedule and get on it!

FORECAST:
Fun SW lingers into Monday for chest high sets and Tuesday is small but rideable (and fantastic weather- more on that below).

By Wednesday afternoon, new SW starts to fill in and Thursday we're back to shoulder high waves that peak on Friday morning. We'll have leftovers for chest high waves next weekend and some small NW/SW for the 4th.

Further out, things shut the week of the 4th with no storms forecasted to send waves our way. And the tropics aren't helping as we haven't had any named storms yet nor will we for the foreseeable future. Curse you La Nina!

WEATHER:

High pressure is starting to flex it's muscles again and we'll have good beach weather this weekend after the morning low clouds burn off. High pressure will strengthen more early next week and the beaches get close to 80 again on Tuesday. We may even see some tropical clouds floating above mid-week. Next weekend the low clouds/fog return and temperatures return to normal for the 4th of July weekend. Make sure to keep up to date on the weather this weekend at Twitter/North County Surf. 

BEST BET:
Saturday with peaking SW swell, water temps in the low 70's, and sunny skies above. Tomorrow and Sunday won't be too shabby either...

NEWS OF THE WEEK:

With El Nino all but gone and the atmosphere racing towards La Nina, what's in store for our summer and fall weather? Are you sitting down? Good. Here goes:

-La Nina conditions will continue to develop which will cool off our water temps. Luckily El Nino's last gasp has kept us in slightly above water temps so we're pretty normal for this time of year. By fall though, we should be in the low 60's and most likely in the mid-50's this winter. San Fran comes to San Diego!
-With the below average rainfall (again), the hills are DRY. Not good for the upcoming fall fire season. There's been a lot of talk about the water conservation we've done and how our reservoirs are close to full again. That's great- but it doesn't do our dry hillsides any good.
-We are in our 5th year of drought and about to go into our 6th if the La Nina holds true. We would need a monster winter of 20"+ of rain to catch up. Not gonna happen.

-Record heat of 2014, 2015, and now 2016 makes the drought even worse.
-We should continue to have above normal monthly temperatures as well as these pesky heat waves. (On the bright side, it sure beats May Gray and June Gloom. Right?)
-Our monsoon season (i.e. all those rad tropical clouds we see pop up this time of year) will be suppressed. Bummer.
-Above average 'Santa Ana' winds this fall. Which won't help the fire season as mentioned above.

Long story short, if you can't just let go of summer, don't worry, looks like it will roll right into winter.

PIC OF THE WEEK:

If you can guess where this shot was taken, I'll let you surf it. You can thank me later.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
Soothesayer
Found The Needle In The Haystack
First Ballot Surfing Hall Of Fame Inductee