El Nino, where art thou?
SURF:
What a difference a year makes. Last year at this time, hurricanes were in full swing, we had tropical clouds overhead, and our water temps hit the magical 80 degree mark. This year? Hurricanes are hiding, tropical clouds have turned to low clouds/fog, and we're lucky if our water temps are even 65!
Fortunately for us, the southern hemisphere is doing the best it can to keep our spirits up and we've had some fun S swells the past few days. Today the current S swell peaked with chest to shoulder high surf (better towards the OC) and it will drop tomorrow through the weekend. Also for the weekend, we'll have small NW windswell in the background to help prop our surf up to the waist high+ range. All in all, small surf past tomorrow, so get on it ASAP!
And here's some numbers to keep in mind:
Tides this weekend are all over the place:
- -0.5' at sunrise
- 4.5' at lunch
- 2' late afternoon
- 3' at sunset
- 6:13 AM sunrise
- 7:34 PM sunset
Enough of the boring news, here's the good stuff: We've got a couple storms in the southern hemisphere today that will send fun to good surf our way next week.
First up is a small storm that will start to fill in on Tuesday for chest high surf, then shoulder high+ S on Wednesday. On it's heels is a good SW swell which may give us head high+ waves finally, this time from the 23rd to the 26th. As far as the tropics go, it's dead down there. El Nino has waned and the hurricanes want nothing to do with the cooler water temps. If anything changes between now and then though, make sure to check out Twitter/North County Surf!
WEATHER:
Welcome back June Gloom! Or is it May Gray? Maybe it's called August Disgust? Too harsh? Whatever it is, inland temps are in the 90-100 degree range today and the coast is a cool 70 with persistent clouds. At least it's keeping the fire weather away. Look for more of the same this weekend- but with cooler temps inland as a weak low pressure system moves by to the N. Next week things heat up again for the inland valleys/deserts as high pressure builds, while the coast has persistent low clouds and temps in the low 70's again.
BEST BET:
Next Wednesday with fun S swell or the 24th/25th with good SW swell.
NEWS OF THE WEEK:
Much of the planet sweltered in unprecedented heat in July, as temperatures soared to new heights in the hottest month ever recorded. The record warmth also shrank Arctic and Antarctic sea ice to historic lows. Here's the latest from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration:
The average global temperature in July was 1.71 degrees F above the 20th-century average of 60.4 degrees, making it the hottest July in the 140-year record, according to scientists at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information. The previous hottest month on record was July 2016.
Nine of the 10 hottest Julys have occurred since 2005—with the last five years ranking as the five hottest. Last month was also the 43rd consecutive July and 415th consecutive month with above-average global temperatures.
Nine of the 10 hottest Julys have occurred since 2005—with the last five years ranking as the five hottest. Last month was also the 43rd consecutive July and 415th consecutive month with above-average global temperatures.
The period from January through July produced a global temperature that was 1.71 degrees F above the 20th-century average of 56.9 degrees, tying with 2017 as the second-hottest year to date on record.
It was the hottest year to date for parts of North and South America, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, the southern half of Africa, portions of the western Pacific Ocean, western Indian Ocean and the Atlantic Ocean.
It was the hottest year to date for parts of North and South America, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, the southern half of Africa, portions of the western Pacific Ocean, western Indian Ocean and the Atlantic Ocean.
Average Arctic sea ice set a record low for July, running 19.8% below average – surpassing the previous historic low of July 2012. Average Antarctic sea-ice coverage was 4.3% below the 1981-2010 average, making it the smallest for July in the 41-year record.
And if you're looking for some cool spots: Parts of Scandinavia and western and eastern Russia had temperatures at least 2.7 degrees F below average. I'll go to Scandinavia- the rest of you can have Russia.
And if you're looking for some cool spots: Parts of Scandinavia and western and eastern Russia had temperatures at least 2.7 degrees F below average. I'll go to Scandinavia- the rest of you can have Russia.
PIC OF THE WEEK:
First off- it's shallow. Second- it's big. Third- it shuts down on the inside. And I was going to tell you it's sharky- but everywhere nowadays is sharky- so I guess that's not scary anymore.
Keep Surfing,
Michael W. Glenn
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