Normal Is The New Normal.
SURF:
After a winter of discontent, it's finally good to be back to normal around here.
Fun waves, water temps approaching normal, the sun is shining- what more could you want? Today we had a good SSW swell filling in with a touch of NW windswell. Most spots are shoulder high with the OC going overhead on sets. That lasts into Saturday. Looks like I'll be turning on the ol' Emergency Boardriding System. Hope I don't jinx it like last time where the winds made a mess out of a perfectly good swell.
For Sunday, today's SSW backs off but new small NW groundswell fills in along with a NEW SSW swell. Look for chest high+ surf most everywhere- and great weather. And here are the tides, sunrise/sunset, and water temps for the next few days:
- Sunrise and sunset:
- 5:51 AM sunrise (paddle out at 5:30 am?!)
- 7:40 PM sunset (paddle in at 8 pm?!)
- Water temps in So Cal are all over the place- 60 in LA, 62 in the OC, and up to 65 in La Jolla. BUT... Imperial Beach/Point Loma is 60! Beware...
- And there's something for everyone with the tides this weekend:
- 4' at sunrise
- -0.5' mid-day
- 4'5' at dinner
- and down slightly to 3' at sunset
FORECAST:
The combo swells from Sunday roll into Monday for more shoulder high surf.
Behind that is more shoulder high sets from the SSW late Tuesday. And beyond that? The Southern Hemisphere looks active- so possibly more good SSW the third week of May. Get it while you can 'cause you know how quick things change around here. Anyone remember February to April?...
WEATHER:
Great weather this week will lead to more great weather this weekend and beyond. High pressure is building slightly for more sunshine and temps in the low 70's along the coast. For next week, we have a sneak peak at monsoonal moisture heading our way for Tuesday/Wednesday. It will mostly be confined to the mountains, but cool to see those big thunderstorms in the distance during the late afternoons. Here's a quick rundown on the next 7 days:
- Friday to Monday: Mostly sunny. Temps 70/60
- Tuesday/Wednesday: More sun with a few thunderstorms in the mountains. Temps... 70/60
- And the 2nd half of next week? More sun and temps 70/60.
If anything changes between now and then, make sure to follow North County Surf on Twitter!
BEST BET:
This weekend and most of next week. Stoke.
NEWS OF THE WEEK:
This weekend in weather history!
MAY 11
1997: Severe thunderstorms developed over Apple Valley and Hesperia during the afternoon, resulting in a tornado, dust storm, and downburst winds. The tornado was an F1 in Apple Valley that ripped up trees, knocked over fences and destroyed a shed. Shortly after the tornado, downburst winds ripped the roof from a home, downed utility lines, and blew off the camper shell from a truck. The intense winds also kicked up a dust storm that reduced visibility to 100 feet or less and mixed with precipitation to produce a muddy rain.
1987: Severe thunderstorms erupted across Southern California. The most intense storms hit areas between Perris and Mission Viejo with wind gusts to 62 mph and small hail. Heavy rains in the L.A. County Mountains produced debris flows between Littlerock and Pinon Hills that forced a closure of Highway 138.
MAY 12:
2014: A dust devil in Fullerton came abruptly out of the west with estimated wind gusts of 60 mph. It carried large amounts of dust and leaves, and damaged portions of roof shingles on a few homes.
2001: Downdraft winds from showers over the ridges accelerated down the north slopes of the San Bernardino Mountains into Apple Valley, where wind gusts to 62 mph and blowing dust with near zero visibility were observed. A wind gust of 82 mph occurred at Granite Mountain, just north of Apple Valley.
1998: El Niño’s last gasp brought rare rain to San Diego and rained out the Padres’ home game against the New York Mets at Qualcomm Stadium. This was the first rainout in over 15 years (since 4/20/1983).
MAY 13:
2014: Strong high pressure and a strong late-season Santa Ana wind event combined to bring record high temperatures exceeding 100° to most of the lower elevations from this day to 5/15. Many all-time high temperature records for the month of May were broken. On this day temperatures soared into the 90s across the region. The hottest day was 5/15 when it was 106° in Yorba Linda and the San Diego Wild Animal Park. The strong Santa Ana winds gusted to 40 to 45 mph in parts of the coast and valleys, and 60 to 80 mph in the foothills. The winds knocked down many trees and power lines, and blew off some roof tiles. Numerous fires erupted especially in San Diego County, burning over 27,000 acres and causing more than $50 million in property damage. The Poinsettia fire in Carlsbad and the Cocos Fire in San Marcos damaged homes, but no serious injuries or deaths resulted.
1999: Strong sustained winds of 61 mph were measured at Borrego Springs, causing roof and tree damage.
1998: An unseasonably strong trough of low pressure swept through Southern California. Thunderstorms over the Inland Empire produced several funnel cloud reports and at least one tornado (F0). The tornado touched down in Homeland ripping awnings from several trailers. Funnel clouds were observed in Homeland as well and in Moreno Valley. It rained 1.14 inches in Santa Ana, the greatest daily total on record for May. Snow fell as low as 4,000 feet with six inches reported at 5,800 feet and up to two feet at resort level. 7.9 inches of snow fell in Big Bear Lake, the greatest daily snowfall on record for May. Multiple ski resorts reopened.
1989: Dense fog along Interstate 8 near Pine Valley contributed to a series of chain reaction accidents. 31 people were injured, with five suffering serious injuries.
MAY 14:
2015: A strong late-season winter storm, along with some thunderstorms, hit the region. San Diego reported 1.30 inches of rain in one hour. A nine-minute period within that main hour totaled 0.71 inch, which is near the 1/100 return interval. The amount of 1.63 inches on this day broke the daily rainfall record for any day in May. Flooding in Mission Hills and Midway District of San Diego was up to four feet deep. Several swift water rescues were made for people trapped in flooded vehicles.
2014: Strong high pressure and a strong late-season Santa Ana wind event combined to bring record high temperatures exceeding 100° to most of the lower elevations from 5/13 to 5/15. Many all-time high temperature records for the month of May were broken. On this day temperatures soared into the 100s across the region. The hottest day was 5/15 when it was 106° in Yorba Linda and the San Diego Wild Animal Park. The strong Santa Ana winds gusted to 40 to 45 mph in parts of the coast and valleys, and 60 to 80 mph in the foothills. The winds knocked down many trees and power lines, and blew off some roof tiles. 14 fires erupted in San Diego County, killing one, burning over 27,000 acres and causing more than $50 million in property damage. The Poinsettia fire in Carlsbad and the Cocos Fire in San Marcos damaged homes.
1918: The temperature dropped to 30° in Victorville, tied for the second coldest night in May during a long cold spell.
BEST OF THE BLOG:
Thanks again to all of our sponsors for tomorrow's charity golf tournament! Sponsored by our friends at Venture LLP, we're benefiting the Carlsbad Educational Foundation and are looking at a full day of activities. Here's a quick rundown on the schedule for Friday:
- 7-7:30 AM check in
- 7:45 AM word from Goat Hill
- 8 AM play ball!
- 12:30 PM lunch/awards/auction
Thanks to everyone who is participating and we'll see you at Goat Hill tomorrow!
PIC OF THE WEEK:
Keep Surfing,
Michael W. Glenn
A Cut Above The Rest
Still In London Partying With Charles
Pipe(s) Master (The Wave In Cardiff- Not Oahu)
Michael W. Glenn
A Cut Above The Rest
Still In London Partying With Charles
Pipe(s) Master (The Wave In Cardiff- Not Oahu)
