Happy Memorial Gray!
SURF:
May Gray's SW winds and fog have started to subside but the surf went with it. Not much to report on this week except for small SW and cool conditions. Luckily for us things are starting to get better.
FORECAST:
The SW from the holiday keeps building into Tuesday and far N county sees overhead sets.
WEATHER:
Nothing major on the horizon. And nothing minor on the horizon either; just night and morning low clouds and fog with a chance of hazy sunshine at the beaches this weekend. Looks to be fine for the holiday weekend- once the clouds burn off. Temps will hang in the high 60's with they typical 10 mph SW winds we've seen the past month. Not as strong thankfully. Models show weak high pressure trying to take hold the middle of next week which means the low clouds may burn off by 10 AM instead of 12 PM at the beaches. Make sure to keep up to date on this exciting weather at Twitter/North County Surf.
BEST BET:
Monday/Tuesday of next week with good SW swell. After that- hibernation!
NEWS OF THE WEEK:
There’s a big debate going on in the surf world (or ocean enthusiasts for that matter): Are sharks attacking more people or is social media so prevalent that it just happens to capture more on film? Let’s look at the facts. Last year, 98 people in different parts of the world were bitten by sharks. Six of those 98 people died. While 98 may not seem like a large number when you are talking about a global issue, when it comes to shark and human interaction, 98 "unprovoked" attacks means it was a record-setting year. It was a year researchers say warming water temperatures and a population boost could make higher numbers of attacks the norm.
The International Shark Attack File, the longest running database on worldwide shark attacks, said it investigated 164 reports in 2015. The group classifies an "unprovoked attack" as an incident "where an attack on a live human occurs in the shark’s natural habitat with no human provocation of the shark.”A study released by the group blamed warmer waters, and a jump in coastal population for the spike in numbers. The study said, in part:
• “As world population continues its upsurge and interest in aquatic recreation concurrently rises, we realistically should expect increases in the number of shark attacks and other aquatic recreation-related injuries …
• “Shark populations are actually declining or holding at greatly reduced levels in many areas of the world as a result of over-fishing and habitat loss, theoretically reducing the opportunity for these shark-human interactions.
• “However, year-to-year variability in local meteorological, oceanographic, and socioeconomic conditions also significantly influences the local abundance of sharks and humans in the water and, therefore, the odds of encountering one another.”
Let’s ask a few questions before making a decision…
Are there really more attacks happening?
When you talk about shark bites, researchers say you have to look at the ratio, not the numbers. In other words, are more people bitten by sharks because more people (and maybe more sharks) are in the same water? "More people are using the ocean now for recreation than ever before, so there is no doubt that we're putting more people in the water," Chris Lowe, professor in the Department of Biological Studies at California State University Long Beach told Men’s Journal last year. "And while there isn't a lot of good scientific evidence for this yet, I think that some shark populations are increasing due to better fisheries management and improved water quality," he said. "You put more people in the water and add more sharks to coastal areas, you will have more shark-human related interactions."
Professor George Burgess, director of the University of Florida Program for Shark Research, told The Telegraph in a story about last year's spike in shark bites that, “Unlike in the movies, it’s not usually a one cause and effect type of a situation. More often it’s a combination of factors that might have led to there being more sharks or more humans in the water, but this is clearly a situation where there is something going on.”
What are the odds?
How likely is it that you will be bitten by a shark? Not likely at all. A group of researchers at Stanford University compared records of shark bites with information about how people use the ocean in California. The found that an ocean swimmer had only one chance in 738 million of being bitten by a great white shark; surfers had a one in 17 million chance; and scuba divers had a one in 136 million chance.
Who do they attack?
Sharks will likely bite the person who acts like a fish or looks like a seal. If you appear to the shark as his normal food choice – by being on a surf board, looking sort of seal-like, or splashing around like a fish – he’s more likely to go for it. Humans are generally not on his menu.
Where do they attack?
The United States leads the world in unprovoked shark attacks. Florida leads the United States. While there are more shark bites in the United States, if you are bitten here you are more likely to survive the bite. The fatality rate for shark bites in the U.S. in 2014 was 1.7 percent. For the rest of the world it was 12.8 percent.
Could we see an increase in shark bite incidents again this year?
We could. If current trends continue, the U.S. coastal regions will see population grow from 123 million people to nearly 134 million people by 2020, according to NOAA. That doesn't include the millions who vacation on the coasts every year.
Who is most likely to get bitten – man or woman?
Sharks don’t seem to prefer the ladies as 90 percent of shark attack victims are men. It’s the ratio thing in play again – traditionally more men are swimming, snorkeling and surfing – activities that expose you to the greatest risk for shark attacks.
Which sharks are responsible for most human bites?
Three species are most responsible for human bites – the bull shark, the tiger shark and the great white shark.
How many sharks are killed each year by humans?
According to the Florida Museum of Natural History, between 20 and 100 million sharks die each year due to fishing activity.
Feel better now? No? Sorry about that. Don’t let that stop you from going out in the water this weekend and enjoying your Memorial Day!
PIC OF THE WEEK:
Those rights aren't as good as they look. Because if they were, it'd be as crowded as Rincon. It's all a mirage...
Keep Surfing,
Michael W. Glenn
Mr. Know It All
Most Searched Name On Google
1st Place, 2017 Lemoore Open
