THE Surf Report- Early Edition

Where do I start?

SURF:

Had some interesting waves/weather this past week due to Hurricane Paine. Not the biggest storm- it only peaked at 90 mph- but it was aimed straight at us and sent some muc needed showers too. Today was the complete opposite as Paine died and a cold front up north kicked in NW windswell for shoulder high sets this afternoon and sunny breezy conditions. And if that's not odd enough, this weekend will be completely different than the first 2 scenarios above. Confused? Should be.

For the weekend we've got NW windswell hanging around as well as a new SW filling in tonight. Both swells will produce head high sets as well as clean conditions and light offshores in the AM.

The SW starts to back off on Sunday but late in the afternoon we have more NW groundswell showing up- best in SD- but still shouder high sets in north county SD from the combo swells.

Tides the next few days are 4' at sunrise, down to 2.5' before lunch, and up to 5' at sunset. Water temps have rebounded slightly to 67 but the offshores this weekend may change all that. Be leery before jumping in.

FORECAST:

If you're arms aren't tired after this weekend, you will be by next week. The late Sunday NW mentioned above lingers into Monday then we've got more SSW on the charts for shoulder high sets late Tuesday into Thursday morning.

And then... models show a new hurricane forming off Baja mid-week which should give us chest high+ waves in north county SD and overhead waves in the OC around the 28th into the 29th. What's interesting about this new hurricane is that it's forecasted to sit offshore of Baja for a couple days. So instead of a 6 hour swell like Paine, we may have a couple day's worth.

We get a little hiatus after that then models show another S swell from the southern hemisphere around the 6th of October. Fall is the best season of the year (I also said that a few months ago about summer so take it with a grain of salt). Make sure to keep up to date on any developing storms at Twitter/North County Surf. 

WEATHER:

Normally I'd be astonished at all the rain we got on Tuesday BUT... last summer was an El Nino year and we got a ton, so this week's rain wasn't a big shock. Most spots in north county received 1/4" to 1/3" and the local mountains received a whopping 1.75" thanks to former Hurricane Paine. All that moisture yesterday was replaced by a very fall-like cold front today and that will be short lived as high pressure sets up tomorrow through most of next week. Look for nice conditions tomorrow and then amazing weather Saturday through Monday with sunny skies, temps in the 80's, and light offshores in the AM. High pressure starts to breakdown late next week for cooler temps and more clouds.

BEST BET:
This weekend with a variety of swells, offshore winds, and not a cloud in sight.

NEWS OF THE WEEK:

Whether you believe in global warming or not, the fact is that the earth is getting hotter. Are we just in a naturally occurring warm phase in time and greenhouse gases are not the cause? Who knows. Maybe the sun is just getting slightly bigger each year (oh joy). Regardless, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has some info for you to ponder:

Put away your party hats: August marks a not-so-sweet 16 months of record warmth for the globe, the longest such streak in 137 years.  August 2016 was 1.66 degrees F above the 20th-century average, breaking last years’ record for the warmest August on record by 0.09 degrees F, according to scientists from NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information. The June–August seasonal temperature was 1.6 degrees F above average, surpassing the heat record for this period set in 2015 by 0.07 degrees.

For the year to date, the average global temperature was 1.82 degrees F above average, also breaking the heat record set in 2015 by 0.29 degrees.
More notable findings around the world include:

• The globally averaged sea surface temperature was second warmest on record for August and warmest on record for both the season (June–August) and the year to date (January–August).
• The globally averaged land surface temperature was record high for August, the season (June–August) and the year to date (January–August).
• Record-warm continents: Africa and Asia had their warmest August; South America had its second; North America its sixth; Europe its 10th; and Oceania its 19th.
• The average Arctic sea ice extent for August was 23.1 percent below the 1981–2010 average. This was the fourth smallest August extent since records began in 1979.
• The average Antarctic sea ice extent for August was 0.2 percent above the 1981–2010 average, the 19th largest on record for the month.

So there you have it. If your bucket list has surfing Alaska with Mason and Mick in a 6/5/4 fullsuit- do it quick before it’s the next Oahu.

PIC OF THE WEEK:

I mentioned a few weeks ago that if Trump wins, it's rumored a lot of Americans will move to Canada. With waves like this though, I'll move to New Zealand; regardless if Trump OR Clinton wins.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
Futuristic
Patriot's 4th String QB
My Ancestors Invented The Surfboard