No waves, no cry.
SURF:
Sure has been pleasant lately. High pressure has set up shop
in the eastern Pacific (again) and stunted our storm growth. Something had to
cause this great weather and lack of surf, didn’t it?
Can’t complain; we’ve had
some fun little chest high waves the past few days and great beach weather, but
that’s about it. No big surf, no big storms. I doubt it has anything to do with
that new surfboard I just bought. This weekend the low clouds/fog return and
the surf we had today starts to drop off (don’t shoot the messenger)! Look for
chest high sets tomorrow followed by waist high sets Sunday/Monday from the
NW/SW combo.
Water temps are still high 50’s and tides the next few days are 2’
at sunrise, up to 5’ late morning, and down to 0’ at sunset. Make sure to keep
up to date on the waves and weather at Twitter/North County Surf.
FORECAST:
Surf starts to pick up slightly on Monday afternoon for
chest high sets thanks to a storm off the Aleutians today. Tuesday that peaks
for head high waves (and overhead sets in SD).
Wednesday drops off slightly but still fun shoulder high sets.
There’s
also a small waist high+ S on the charts that will mostly show in the OC on
Wednesday (and in SD on Thursday once the NW is completely gone).
Further out,
models show a small chest high NW headed our way around Sunday the 11th.
And after that, the southern hemisphere is starting to come to life and we may
see shoulder high sets from S around the middle of February.
WEATHER:
As advertised above, the low clouds/fog return for nights/mornings
this weekend and our temps will cool slightly to the mid-60’s (brrrr)! We have
a quick/weak cold front passing by to our N on Monday with high pressure
setting up shop behind it. What does this all mean? More nice weather for us
starting on Tuesday and beyond. As far as our rain chances go- nothing on the
horizon. Incredible to think that we’ve only seen 1 storm in the past 11 months
and we’re right in the middle of winter too.
BEST BET:
Next Tuesday with good WNW swell and nice conditions.
NEWS OF THE WEEK:
After three consecutive years of record-high temperatures
for the globe, Earth was a slightly cooler planet in 2017! But unfortunately, not
by much. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) last week
came out with their annual climate report and found that Earth’s globally
averaged temperature for 2017 was…
…the third warmest year in NOAA’s 138-year climate record,
behind 2016 (warmest) and 2015 (second warmest). Bummer.
The average temperature across the globe in 2017 was 1.51
degrees F above the 20th century average of 57 degrees F. 2017 marks the 41st
consecutive year (since 1977) with global land and ocean temperatures at least
nominally above the 20th-century average. The six warmest years on record for
the planet have all occurred since 2010.
In a separate analysis of global temperature data released
at the same time, NASA scientists ranked 2017 as the second warmest year on
record. The minor difference in rankings is due to the different methods used
by the two agencies to analyze global temperatures; though over the long term,
the agencies’ records remain in strong agreement. Both analyses show that the
five warmest years on record all have taken place since 2010. Analyses from the
United Kingdom Met Office and the World Meteorological Organizationoffsite link
also ranked 2017 among the top three warmest years on record.
However, unlike the past two years, Earth’s average
temperature in 2017 was not influenced by the warming effect of an El Nino, say
scientists from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI).
So unfortunately, we can’t blame El Nino/La Nina like we normally do for our
disasters.
Additional findings from the 2017 report:
- · Sea ice extent (coverage) at the poles remained low throughout last year. Antarctica had a record-low extent in 2017, while the Arctic had its second-lowest ice coverage on record.
o
The average Arctic sea ice extent for the year
was 4.01 million square miles, the second smallest annual average since
record-keeping began in 1979.
o
The average Antarctic sea ice extent for the
year was 4.11 million square miles, the smallest annual average since
record-keeping began in 1979.
- · Despite the cooling influence of a weak La Nina in the latter part of the year, December ended up as the fourth warmest December on record for the globe, with an average temperature 1.44 degrees F above the 20th century average.
- · The globally averaged sea surface temperature was the third highest on record, 1.21 degrees F above average.
- · The globally averaged land surface temperature was the third highest on record, 2.36 degrees F above average.
- · South America had its second warmest year on record; Asia, its third; Africa, its fourth; Europe, its fifth; and North America and Oceania, their sixth. I guess not being 1st is good for once. Kind of.
So what does all this warm weather mean? If you ask the
soggy Seattle, they’re probably pleased. San Diego on the other hand (where we
have more wildfires than you can shake a stick at), not so happy.
PIC OF THE WEEK:
Great set up- beautiful scenery, big channel to get back
outside, long rides, and just you and your bro. Nature’s version of Kelly’s
wave pool.
Keep Surfing,
Michael W. Glenn
Adult Prodigy
Chargers Lost To Eagles By 2/Patriots By 8. Patriots Over
Eagles By 5
1998 Triple Crown of Skurfing Champion
