Winter is hiding from us.
SURF:
Just a few fleeting showers this week, windy conditions, and mostly NW windswell. Not exactly a stellar winter around here. High pressure has been stunting our Aleutian storm formation so we don’t have any NW groundswells on tap- just more windswell. Today we had bumpy conditions, showers off and on, and small NW windswell.
FORECAST:
For Monday, the small SW backs off while new NW windswell builds in the afternoon for chest high sets. Tuesday the NW peaks in the head high range but models show another cold front coming through with rain and windy conditions. Wednesday we have leftover NW and sunnier skies.
For next weekend, more NW windswell may arrive while new small SW fills in Saturday. Most spots have chest high sets- but maybe more rain/wind.
WEATHER:
Slight chance of showers as the cold front exits the region on Friday. Look for cold temps again and NW winds in the 20 mph range. Saturday and Sunday look to be nice with sunny skies and temps in the mid-60’s. Models then show a more potent rain maker arriving Monday afternoon through Tuesday. Not looking like a big storm but at least the showers we’ve been experiencing will turn to a more steady rain. After Tuesday, forecast charts get a little hazy. Some models show nice weather mid-week, others show a stray shower. And then for next weekend, models show another storm moving through Southern California. In a nutshell, the only certainty is uncertainty.
BEST BET:
Maybe Sunday with small combo swell and clean conditions or with any luck, that solid SW forecasted for March 5th- if good weather can hold up!
NEWS OF THE WEEK:
From the ‘Just when you think you’ve heard it all’ department comes this: Audio recordings of Hurricanes Irma and Maria's passage over Puerto Rico documented how the calls of coastal critters changed in response to the deadly storms. The hurricanes caused a major disruption in the acoustic activity of snapping shrimp, a reduction in insect and bird sounds, and potentially an intensification of fish choruses, according to new research presented at the Ocean Sciences Meeting Friday.
In March 2017, researchers set up acoustic monitoring sites in coastal forests and coral reefs on Puerto Rico's southwest coast to continuously record the area's ambient sounds. Their goal was to capture the region's land and sea soundscapes -- especially the cacophony of sounds created by animal vocalizations -- and document how and why they change over time.
But the passage of Hurricanes Irma and Maria over Puerto Rico in September gave the researchers an unexpected look at how coastal soundscapes change in response to natural disasters. Although the hurricanes did not directly hit the study area, audio recordings reveal the storms had noticeable short-term effects on fish choruses, snapping shrimp activity in coral reefs, and bird and insect calls on land.
The recordings show fish increased the intensity of their nightly choruses in the days following Hurricane Irma. The clicking of snapping shrimp, which are among the loudest animal noises in the ocean, plummeted during Hurricane Maria, and the daily snapping rhythm was disrupted for several days.
In nearby dry forests, Maria had longer-lasting effects on the soundscape. There was a marked reduction in insect sounds during the three weeks after the storm. Listen to time-lapse recordings of changes to insect sounds, fish choruses and snapping shrimp activity here.
The results show how scientists can use the soundscape as a measure of biodiversity and environmental change, according to the researchers. Capturing responses from a variety of species at the same time can help scientists better understand how the ecosystem is affected as a whole, according to Ben Gottesman, a PhD candidate at Purdue University in West Lafayette, Indiana, and lead author of the new research.
"Sometimes you can't visually assess an impact, but you can certainly capture that through changes in the soundscape," said Felix Martinez, an ecologist and Program Manager at the NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science in Ann Arbor, Michigan, who will present the new findings Friday at the 2018 Ocean Sciences Meeting, co-sponsored by the Association for the Sciences of Limnology and Oceanography, The Oceanography Society and the American Geophysical Union. "We really need to understand when those changes are natural versus due to some kind of stressor, whether it's human or natural."
Similar to birds and frogs, fish call to find mates and defend spawning territories, producing choruses at specific times of day and specific times of the year. Gottesman suspects one reason the fish may have chorused more after Hurricane Irma -- which coincided with the full moon -- was because the water became very turbid, making it harder for them to be seen by predators.
While the fish increased their activity following Hurricane Irma, shrimp snaps declined steeply during Maria and rebounded in the first few days after the storm. Snapping shrimp make a loud cracking noise with their claws to stun and catch prey. The snapping shrimp recorded in Puerto Rico displayed a very precise¬ schedule of when they snapped the most, almost like clockwork, Gottesman said. After the storms, peaks of snapping activity at dawn and dusk were less pronounced, and it took several days for them to recover to pre-storm levels.
The researchers suspect the shrimp could have snapped less for several reasons. During the storms, the intense current and turbidity likely dissuaded the shrimps from seeking prey, or else the extreme turbidity muffled the high-frequency shrimp snaps. After the storm, Maria may have disturbed their rocky coral habitats, the shrimp could have been spending time cleaning out their burrows, or they may not have been able to see their prey when the water became turbid.
Post-storm recordings show the land and sea animals' vocalizations in this part of Puerto Rico, which was not in the eye of the storm, did eventually rebound to pre-storm levels. Maria was a catastrophic disaster, causing an estimated $90 billion worth of damage, but the new findings show how resilient this coastal ecosystem was in response to the storm, according to the researchers.
So just as you and I get fired up and talk about hurricanes, looks like our animal friends do too.
PIC OF THE WEEK:
As a little kid, I loved the park. Swing set, big soccer fields, picnic benches, dogs running loose. As I get older though, I think my ideal park would look something like this.
Keep Surfing,
Michael W. Glenn
A Whole Lot Of Awesome
Singing the National Anthem At The All Star Game In 2019
Going On Surfari To Find A Rabbit, Da Bull, Condor, Seabass, Owl, Da Cat, Dingo, Flea, Kanga, Dog, Tiger, Goat, and the elusive Wounded Gull
