Bring back Winter, no questions asked.
SURF:
As we get closer to March 20th, spring seems
right on time. Little SW swells at our beaches, our water temps have bottomed
out in the high 50’s, and no big storms rolling through. With that said, old
man Winter is going to give it one last shot next week.
First up though, we
have a small boost from the NW that will give SD chest high sets tomorrow. With
leftover dying SW, north county SD will also see waist to chest high surf from
the combo swells. Saturday the SW is gone and the NW backs off- but it doesn’t
matter as we have a weak cold front coming through Saturday afternoon through
Sunday morning which will make conditions a little bumpy- so make sure to get a
surf in tomorrow.
Water temps are still high 50’s and tides this weekend are 3’
at sunrise, down to 0’ at lunch, and up to 3’ again at sunset. Make sure to
keep up to date on the waves and weather at Twitter/North County Surf.
FORECAST:
Monday starts off slow but a small SW should fill in with a
touch more NW by Tuesday. Still small, but best combo spots will be waist to
chest high. Now here’s the fun part:
Models the past few days have been advertising a storm building in the Pacific
and as it does, tap into sub-tropical moisture early in the week.
The storm
should move ashore Wednesday and as it does, bring overhead messy NW Thursday
through Friday. Things clean up next
weekend but the swell dies with it. The north Pacific looks to slow down in the
near future but the southern hemisphere is starting to show some life. Nothing
concrete yet, but maybe some good SW the first few days of spring (March 21st).
WEATHER:
Got a couple glancing blows the past 7 days from weak cold
fronts and that will be the case again this weekend. Tomorrow starts off clean
with high clouds overhead then a few showers develop late Saturday. Sunday
should be sunny and breezy from the NW once low pressure exits the region.
Models again show a weak front moving through again on Tuesday but only some showers
at best. The real story is a bigger/colder storm for late Wednesday through Friday.
This should be a typical winter storm as cold air, wind, and heavy rain visit
the area. The real wildcard is how much tropical moisture it taps and what kind
of a boost it will do to our low rain totals. Late next weekend things should
return to normal. And as a reminder: SET YOUR CLOCKS AHEAD 1 HOUR when you go
to bed on Saturday night! Daylight Saving you know. Sun will rise at 7 AM next
week and set at 7 PM.
BEST BET:
Tomorrow with small clean conditions or late Monday/Tuesday
with building fun sized SW/NW and semi-clean conditions before the storm hits.
NEWS OF THE WEEK:
If we do get a solid storm next Thursday the 15th,
how will it stack up against other weather events throughout history on March
15th?...
1905: 0.94 inch fell in San Diego in 30 minutes, the
greatest 30 minute rainfall on record.
1986: Heavy rain and snow that started on this day and ended
on 3/16 caused mud slides along the coast in Orange County. Three feet of snow
fell in the San Bernardino Mountains.
1987: Widespread strong storm winds pushed gusts to 40 mph
at San Diego with sustained winds 25-35 mph all day. Power outages occurred all
over the San Diego metro area. Motor homes toppled in the desert. A light
standard fell over onto cars in Coronado. Boats flipped over in harbors. A 22
foot boat turned over at the Mission Beach jetty. Catalina cruise ships were
delayed, stranding 1,200 tourists
on the island.
2003: A slow moving cold front dropped three to seven inches
of rain across Southern California. Over 1,000 traffic accidents and six deaths
were attributed to standing water on roads. Some freeways were covered by water
two to three feet deep. In the desert, the Mojave River overflowed its banks,
flooding several major roads between Hesperia and Apple Valley. Dense fog along
the coastal slopes contributed to two pileups in the Cajon Pass involving a
total of 56 cars.
2008: A funnel cloud was observed southwest of Balboa Park.
And on the flipside of March 15th was the year
2015…
Strong high pressure and Santa Ana conditions boosted
temperatures into the 90s across the coast and valleys from 3/13 through 3/16,
and cooling only into the 60s at night. Numerous daily high maximum and daily
high minimum records were set. On 3/13 the warmest reading of 96° in Santa Ana
was reached. Highest minimum temperatures were 68° in Santa Ana and San Diego
on this day.
BEST OF THE BLOG:
And if you happen to be reading this before 7 AM on Friday, come
on down to Seaside Reef as the North County Board Meeting will be having their
(semi) monthly Surf Meeting. Try out demo boards from SUPERbrand and INT, grab
a little breakfast, network, and find out how you can give back to this amazing
community. Look for the Airstream at the parking lot entrance or the green tent
on the beach. See you there!
PIC OF THE WEEK:
I bought some property here a few years ago. It’s where I’m
going to retire. Maybe tend to the sheep, grow some legumes, and harvest a few
barrels. I even plan to put surf racks on my John Deere.
Keep Surfing,
Michael W. Glenn
Mr. Incredible
Already Set My Clock Ahead 1 Hour
I Put The Wild In Wildcard
