Thursday, February 27, 2020

THE Surf Report- Early Edition


Offshore to onshore.  

SURF:



Amazing conditions the past couple of days with a little bit of surf led to fun surf if you picked your spot accordingly. Along with fading SW on Friday, we've got a little bump from the W tomorrow which will result in chest high sets and 1 more day of great weather. 



Saturday starts off on the small side with the return of the sea breeze then all heck breaks loose on Sunday as a cold front moves through the region. Look for gusty SW winds on Sunday, showers, and overhead NW storm surf. Glad to see the surf pick up but pretty much a mess unfortunately. Here's the tides and sun this weekend:
  • Sunrise and sunset are:
    • 6:17 AM sunrise 
    • 5:46 PM sunset 
    • You can basically paddle out at 6 AM and paddle in at 6 PM. A full 12 hours of shredding (if you're built like Laird Hamilton)
  • Water temps are in the high 50's

  • And tides are WAY mellow this weekend:
    • 1' at sunrise
    • 3' at lunch
    • 2' at sunset
FORECAST:
Once the  so-called storm exits the region on Monday, we've got leftover head high NW with a touch of SW. Tuesday drops further to the chest high range and Wednesday to Saturday we're left with waist high surf. 


A storm is forecasted to develop off Antarctica this weekend which should give us chest high surf next Sunday BUT... models also show another cold front moving through our area at the same time. The NW may pick up too- but it could be windy just like this Sunday. Typical. Make sure to check out Twitter/North County Surf if anything changes between now and then. 

BEST BET: 
  • Friday with a little bit of NW/SW and clean conditions
  • Monday with head high sets from the NW and HOPEFULLY clean conditions. If not, wait for Tuesday with leftover NW/SW. 
WEATHER:


Warm sunny days with strong offshore winds the past few days will transition to a cold cloudy day and strong onshore winds by Sunday. Friday looks to be nice with light winds and temps in the high 60's while on Saturday, the low clouds/fog increase with temps in the mid-60s. By Sunday a windy cold front moves in and showers increase. It's not looking to be a big rainmaker (most likely 1/10"-1/25" along the coast) but the winds will be 25 mph+. Temps by Monday will also drop like a rock to the high 50's. Things will clear out Monday and nice weather will return by Tuesday. After that, we could get another windy cold front next Sunday. 

NEWS OF THE WEEK:


I reported earlier this month there's been some strong winds in the Sierras lately. Not lots of snow unfortunately- but lots of wind. Some reaching the 200 mph (unverified) mark. For us down here, not so much. BUT... yesterday's Santa Ana wind event was impressive nonetheless. So much so, we may have broken a record of our own here in San Diego County: a 106 mph wind gust. Here's what the San Diego Union Tribune had to say:

Santa Ana winds gusted from 70 to 106 mph in San Diego County’s mountains and valleys early Wednesday, making driving hazardous in many areas, closing schools and knocking out power to about 3,000 SDG&E customers. The 106 mph gust, which set a record, was reported at Sill Hill, a high, remote spot in the Cuyamaca Mountains in East County. The reading is roughly equal to the winds that blow during a category 3 hurricane.

The strong, dry winds toppled at least two big rigs along Interstate 8 and prompted one school district to cancel classes because of safety concerns. A large pine tree also fell onto a home in Encinitas, damaging its roof but leaving residents uninjured. The first big rig was blown over about midnight on eastbound I-8 near state Route 79 in the Japatul Valley, said California Highway Patrol Officer Jim Bettencourt. The second high-profile vehicle to go on its side occurred shortly before 6:25 a.m. on eastbound I-8 at Buckman Springs Road. Both trucks were left on their sides for a time because it was too windy to remove them.

The Santa Anas also raised temperatures across the region. San Diego International Airport hit 77, 12 degrees above average. Forecasters expected today will be the warmest day of the week with temperatures in the low 80's at the coast. And if you didn't notice on Tuesday, temps along the coast were in the low 60's due to the strong onshore winds. Normally temperatures peak late afternoon each day- but as the Santa Ana kicked in Tuesday evening and the sun started to set- the temperatures actually rose 10 degrees to the low 70's.


Winds were thought to be a factor when a pine tree, estimated to be about 75 feet tall, fell onto a house in Encinitas on Wednesday. The tree toppled onto the home on Wotan Drive near Santa Fe Drive around 6:30 a.m. The tree knocked down utility lines and SDG&E crews cut off power to the home. Public works crews were working to get the tree removed so damage to the home could be assessed, said Encinitas Deputy Fire Chief Robert Ford. He said he was surprised winds were so gusty along the coast. “I’m grateful there were no injuries,” he said.

Forecasters said winds were blowing out of the valleys into Oceanside, where there were gusts to 20 mph. Sample of Wednesday’s highest winds:

  • Sill Hill, Cuyamaca Mountain: 106 mph
  • Big Black Mountain (near Ramona): 87 mph
  • Santa Ysabel Ranch: 77 mph
  • North Descanso: 75 mph
  • Sunrise Highway: 68 mph
  • Pine Valley: 67 mph
  • Mt. Laguna Observatory: 66 mph
  • Harrison Peak: 61 mph
  • Potrero: 59 mph
  • Crestwood: 58 mph
  • Rancho Santa Fe: 58 mph
  • Viejas: 58 mph
  • Hodges Dam: 53 mph
  • Warners: 52 mph
  • Cameron: 51 mph
  • Julian: 49 mph
  • Alpine: 49 mpjh
  • Olivenhain: 48 mph
  • Barona Mesa: 43 mph
  • Mt. Woodson: 42 mph
BEST OF THE BLOG:


It's official: The Palm Springs area is officially home to 500,000 retirees, 100 golf courses, and soon to be 3 wave pools; one by Kelly, one by Kerr, and one by Kalani (I know, all of the names start with the letter 'K'. Weird). Now before you poo-poo the idea, Kalani Robb's looks to be close to completion as they are just retrofitting the old Wet 'n' Wild pool to give it the 'Waco' type wave. For Josh Kerr's pool (in which he's an ambassador), they have cleared most hurdles and unless they run out of money, this one should open within 2 years. And Kelly Slater's pool is the most ambitious; developers claim it will be the "largest, rideable open-barrel, human-made waves in the world". Along with plans for a 150 room hotel, 600 homes priced between $1-5 million dollars, and multiple restaurants, it's a moon shot. Fortunately though, the site has already been approved for development, and they hope they can secure city approval to start construction early next year and open for business in mid-2022. Since the majority of our surf around here is small and cold, I welcome anyone's attempt to make rideable surf that I can trunk it in. And with 24 million people in the greater Southern California area, these pools actually have a chance of making it. Make sure to read the details here, only on the North County Surf blog! 

PIC OF THE WEEK:


If you know, then you'll go. Might be my favorite spot in the world (since I haven't been to Tavarua yet). 

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
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