Stuck in the middle with you.
SURF:
I sure had high hopes for North County San Diego the past few days. With building SW/NW swells, what could go wrong? Well, the SW was fun in the OC and the NW was fun in SD, and around here? The swells finally made their presence today- two days late. But fear not! The swells are still building tonight BUT... we have some weather to deal with. Looks like we have our first real storm of the season headed our way tomorrow evening which will increase the winds and rain. So even if you brave the wind, the water will be dirty since it's the first rain of the season and there's A LOT of junk about to runoff into our ocean. But let's stay positive and talk about the good stuff:
The SW will continue to build on Friday along with NW wind/groundswell. Look for chest high surf in the AM and head high (possibly windy) surf in the PM. Best bet is to get it before lunch. Saturday the NW peaks with well overhead surf (and a continuation of the SW) but we'll have rain, wind, and dirty water. Sunday is more of the same with overhead surf from the NW/SW, bumpy conditions, and dirty water from a 2nd low pressure system. If you like junky overhead combo swell, then this weekend is going to be epic! And here's the tides, sun, and water info:
- Sunrise and sunset:
- 6:13 AM sunrise.
- 4:52 PM sunset
- Water is hovering in the mid-60's.
- And the tides this weekend aren't doing much:
- 3' at sunrise
- 4.5' after lunch
- 2.5' at sunset
FORECAST:
After a messy weekend of surf, HOPEFULLY it's cleaner (the wind AND water) by Monday. We still should have head high sets from both the NW/SW early Monday then dropping quickly by the afternoon.
Tuesday into Wednesday continues to drop then we get more SW groundswell and NW windswell late Wednesday. Both swells aren't big but we should get chest high combo surf by Thursday. We do though have another (weaker) cold front expected to arrive mid-week so that may screw up the swell (again) Thursday. After that, we have a lull for maybe a week, then models show a couple more storms taking shape in the N and S Pacific but we'll have to wait and see. Make sure to check out Twitter/North County Surf if anything changes between now and then.
BEST BET:
As the swells build on Friday, the winds will too so plan accordingly. Best bet is early Friday. And if you like storm surf- and there isn't much rain by Saturday morning- get on it early as the rest of the weekend the water should be filthy. Next week, Wednesday into Thursday could be fun if the next cold front isn't as strong as anticipated.
WEATHER:
Winter is here! In fall! Our first real storm of the season is headed down the coast today and it should be a good one. Look for semi clean conditions Friday morning then get progressively worse as we head into the afternoon. Winds will be gusty by nightfall and the storm surf will be picking up. Models actually show Point Conception and the Channel Islands hitting 20' Friday night/Saturday morning. Rain will back off by Saturday evening before another weaker system fills in behind it on Sunday. All in all, we should see 1/2" in the OC and up to 1" in SD. Temps this weekend will drop from 80 today to 60 by Sunday. Monday should be a transition day, Tuesday sunny and cool, then maybe another much weaker cold front for late Wednesday into Thursday? And for you powder hounds, Big Bear may receive up to 6" of snow. So stoked.
NEWS OF THE WEEK:
Sure the rainy season only started on October 1st, but we're already significantly behind thanks to La Nina. Here's where we stand as of today for precipitation:
- Newport Beach: 0" so far and we should be at 1.03". Normal for the entire season is 13.30"
- Oceanside: 0.04" so far and we should be at 0.93". Normal for the entire season is 13.66"
- San Diego: 0.12" so far and we should be at 0.67". Normal for the entire season is 10.34"
- 1987: Heavy rain and thunderstorms that started on 11/4 and ended on this day brought 2.02 inches to Palomar Mountain and 1.16 inches to San Diego. Numerous roadways and intersections were flooded around San Diego. A roof collapsed in San Diego. Minor mud slides occurred on I-8 at SDSU, Mission Valley, and near Temecula. Flash flooding stranded 8,000 in Death Valley. Funnel clouds were observed over March Field near Riverside and several waterspouts were seen off the coast of Los Angeles.
- 1961: Strong Santa Ana winds that started on this day and ended on 11/6 fanned fires in Bel Air, Brentwood, and Topanga Canyon. It was 74° at 10 pm in LA with a dewpoint of 5°. 103 fire fighters were injured. $100 million in economic losses included 484 buildings (mostly residential) and 6,090 burned acres.
- 1960: Heavy rains induced flash flooding and landslides in Orange and Santa Barbara Counties. A young boy was trapped and subsequently drowned by rising waters in a drainage canal. Two men were injured when boulders sliding down a hillside overturned their truck.
Keep Surfing,
Michael W. Glenn
Steadfast
In This Moment Of Uncertainty, I Look To The Kardashians For Guidance
Da Cat Gave Me A Fish With A Swallow Tail That Worked Like A Dog At Turtle Bay
