Thursday, April 15, 2021

THE Surf Report

 

SURF:
Not much going on earlier this week as we had overcast conditions, drizzle, and SW winds. Welcome to spring. Things are looking up though and I'm going to activate the Emergency Boardriding System. Why? The weather is going to be great, we have SW swells in our future, and the water is warming up! That's a recipe for a good session. Just plan accordingly as the crowds will be thick! 


For Friday, we'll have chest high surf with shoulder high sets from the SW and head high waves towards the OC. That holds through the weekend with a slight bump in the NW windswell Sunday- and the beaches may hit 80 by then too. And here's the tides, sun, and water temps for the next few days:
  • Sunrise and sunset:
    • 6:16 AM sunrise (definitely paddle out by 6 AM)
    • 7:20 PM sunset (definitely stay out until 7:45 PM)
  • Water temps are between 63-65 and may hold at 65 by Sunday once that sun comes out. 
  • And the tides this weekend are interesting:
    • 1' at sunrise
    • 0.5' mid-morning
    • and 3' at sunset
FORECAST:
Monday has leftover NW/SW for chest high+ surf then things get funky Tuesday/Wednesday as a weak cold front comes through yet again. That will mess up any kind of small but fun surf we have on tap. 


No problem though as good SW swell arrives mid-week and once the weather cleans up the 2nd half of next week, we've got head high surf from the SW and great weather again. That lasts through next weekend. And on that note, I'll flip on the Emergency Boardriding System yet again. 

WEATHER:


Looks like we're in for some great weather this weekend. High pressure behind our departing low pressure today will set up sunny skies tomorrow and temps near 80 at the beaches by Sunday. Monday is a transition day as another low pressure system moves by to our N and kicks up our drizzle down here by Tuesday. That lasts into Wednesday. Thursday should be nice then we start the whole process over again next weekend with sunny skies and great weather. If anything changes between now and then, make sure to check out North County Surf on Twitter!

BEST BET:
This weekend with fun waves from the SW and sunny skies. Or late next week with a bigger SW swell and great conditions yet again. I love surfing. 

NEWS OF THE WEEK:


The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released their latest three monthly outlook recently. La Niña is expected to fade into neutral conditions this spring (good news for us). But what about our dry winter- what does that mean for drought potential? Here are the outlooks for May, June and July...


The three month precipitation outlook looks to be average for Southern California and much of the Southwest (more good news but it won't help with the deficit unfortunately). Below normal precipitation is most likely for the rest of the West, while the East is favored with wetter odds.

The Seasonal Drought Outlook for mid-March through June calls for drought development for far southwest California and the central coast, joining the rest of the state and most of the West in drought conditions (not good for fire season this fall).


The three month temperature outlook is simple. Hotter than normal conditions are most likely for the entire country except the far Pacific Northwest. Most pronounced odds for a hotter May-June-July period are found in the Southwest (Less fog? A good thing)? 

Hope you like a dry, hot, summer...

PIC OF THE WEEK:


As our water temps warm up, cold water surfing is becoming a distant memory this spring. Ps- water temp in Alaska today was 38 in case you were wondering. 

Keep Surfing, 
Michael W. Glenn
Untapped Potential
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