THE Surf Report

 

It's Gonna Get Funky. 

SURF:

It's soooooo good to have surf around here again. 

Lots of WNW swells the past couple weeks AND nice weather has been a blessing from King Neptune. The swell from earlier in the week already peaked and will be smaller tomorrow- but still fun in the chest high range. 

For Saturday morning, the swell drops more to the waist high range but we will see a little bump in the afternoon/Sunday morning for inconsistent chest high sets again towards SD. The good news? Looks like mild to moderate Santa Ana winds on Friday morning to groom what's left of our swell. And here's the tides, sun, and water temps for the next few days:

• Sunrise and sunset:
• 6:45 AM sunrise
• 5:19 PM sunset 

• Water temps are holding in the high 50's. Still.

• And big tide swings this weekend: 
• 6.5' at sunrise
• About -1.5' around 2 pm
• Back up to 2' at sunset

FORECAST:

More swells are lined up on the horizon but the corresponding weather will be a little tricky. Models last showed a chance of rain- but have since backed off. In its wake though may be NW winds. Let's sort things out first: 

Monday should be small but Tuesday will see a bump from the SW from an off season SW. Look for waist high sets in SD and maybe stomach high+ in the OC? 

Late Tuesday into Wednesday sees increasing NW windswell for chest high surf in N County SD and shoulder high sets in SD. Conditions could be iffy due to the above mentioned winds though. 

After that, we're looking at small SW again around next Friday and more fun chest high+ WNW towards Sunday the 6th. Nothing big the next 10 days but fun at least- if the wind doesn't screw it up. 

WEATHER:

Looks like mild Santa Anas on tap tomorrow then cooler conditions over the weekend. As mentioned above, we've got some cold fronts moving inland behind us so no rain- but possibly NW winds Tuesday/Wednesday. After that, it's anyone's guess- but not rain. If anything changes between now and then, make sure to follow North County Surf on Twitter!

BEST BET:

Friday morning with leftover WNW and clean conditions. Tuesday/Wednesday looks to have combo swell but... NW winds? Or more combo swell next weekend. 

NEWS OF THE WEEK:

A fan favorite... THIS DAY IN WEATHER HISTORY! On a serious note, what's incredible about January 27th in weather history is that 3 significant events occurred- including big storms from the legendary '69 AND '83 El Nino's AND... 2 dams broke in SD County on this day in 1916! Glad we got by today unscathed...

• 2008: Heavy rain hit the region and triggered several debris flows in the Poomacha and Witch Creek burn areas. Portions of highways 78 and 76 were closed.
• 1983: A series of storms produced surf up to 16 feet from 1/22 to 1/29. Several piers collapsed. Damage was done to numerous businesses and homes. Several injuries occurred as people were swept off rocks.
• 1969: Heavy rains of tropical origin began on 1/18 ended on 1/28. As much as 50 inches of rain fell at 7,700 feet. 31 inches of rain fell on the south slopes of Mt. San Gorgonio, 15.5 inches at San Jacinto Peak, around ten inches at Banning, less than 1 inch from Indio southeast. This day was the end of nine consecutive days (the most on record) of measurable precipitation in Riverside which started on 1/19. This also occurred on 2/13-2/21/1980. 91 were reported dead from flooding and mud slides all over California. Scores died in traffic accidents. Hundreds of homes and buildings were destroyed in slides, including 14 destroyed and 11 damaged homes in Mt. Baldy Village. 50 homes near Forest Home (Forest Falls) were damaged by flooding. Highways and railroads washed out. Power outages occurred. Cucamonga Creek itself caused $10 million in damage. The Mojave River took out numerous bridges and flooded farmlands in the upper desert. Strong storm winds felled trees which killed four and caused power outages.
• 1956: A heavy storm in Southern California starting on 1/25 and ending on this day dropped 13.74 inches in Lake Arrowhead, 7.97 inches in LA, 7.27 inches in Santa Ana, 7.06 inches in San Bernardino, 4.00 inches in Riverside, 1.14 inches in San Diego, and 0.74 inch in Palm Springs. Around San Bernardino, local floods filled streets and channels, and blocked many roadways. Mud and rocks covered some roads, causing damage. This damage occurred after fires denuded nearby mountain slopes.
• 1916: Heavy rain that began on 1/25 and ended on 1/30 exacerbated the flooding Sweetwater Dam after it failed due to excessive rainfall on this day in 1916. earlier in the month. Monthly rainfall totals for January 1916 ranged from 7.56 inches at San Diego to 57.91 inches at Dorman’s Ranch (in the San Bernardino Mountains, 2,500 feet elev.). Five inches fell in less than 12 hours in San Diego. Extensive flooding occurred all over Southern California,  the worst to date and it resulted in 28 total deaths in the region, 22 in San Diego County. This is the most destructive and deadly weather event in San Diego County History. The Lower Otay Dam broke sending a 40-foot wall of water downstream, killing 15. A few others drowned in Mission Valley and in the San Luis Rey River. The Sweetwater Dam also broke. Every large bridge in San Diego County but one was seriously damaged or destroyed. Four drowned in Orange County, two in a cottage floating down the Santa Ana River. Two drowned in San Bernardino County. Total damage was nearly $8 million (1916 dollars).

PIC OF THE WEEK:

Heaven on Earth. Period. 

Keep Surfing, 
Michael W. Glenn
Heavy-duty
Maxed Out My Diners Club Card
Gabriel's Replacement At Pipe