El Nino Meet Baby New Year.
SURF:
Besides the big swells of January and December 2023, last year was pretty much a non-event. So I wholeheartedly welcome 2024 to my surfing schedule.
This past week saw a bit of everything- solid surf again, windy conditions, good weather, rainy showers (am I missing anything?) and this weekend and beyond will be more of the same. For Friday, we have a continuation of NW wind/ground swell for chest high+ surf, then better head high+ NW on Saturday (and bigger in SD).
Saturday night though, a cold front comes ripping through the area and we've got showers early on Sunday, then gusty 30 mph WNW winds on Sunday- and big storm surf. And here’s the sun, tides, and water temps for the upcoming weekend:
- Sunrise and sunset:
- 6:52 AM sunrise
- 4:58 PM sunset
- Water temps are barely hanging on to 60- and may drop more once the winds kick in Sunday.
- And tides are starting to fluctuate this weekend- and really get extreme next week:
- about 4' at sunrise
- just above 0' at lunch
- and up to 2' at sunset
- then... tides are almost 7' at sunrise next week and almost -2' late afternoon
FORECAST:
After a windy and wooly Sunday, Monday morning looks to be cleaner with leftover head high NW wind/groundswell. Tuesday/Wednesday has nice weather but not much surf.
Thursday into next weekend, models show another windy cold front coming through for a chance of showers and bumpy overhead surf again. If anything changes between now and then, make sure to follow North County Surf on Twitter!
WEATHER:
Big surf, showers, and windy conditions so far this winter- but we're due for more heavy rain. Maybe towards the end of the month- but for now- just cool conditions and showers. Here's what we have on tap for at least the next 7 days:
- Friday: Mostly sunny. Temps low 60's to low 40's.
- Saturday: Mostly sunny in the AM then the clouds move in for showers late. Temps low 60's to low 40's
- Sunday: Showers early and WINDY. Gust could be 40 mph along the coast with sunny skies in the afternoon. Temps high 50's and low 40's.
- Monday to Wednesday: Sunny and more low 60's during the day and low 40's at night.
- Showers again late in the week?....
BEST BET:
- No real ground swells to speak of and windy conditions the next 7 days so choose your windows to surf wisely!
- Friday with leftover smaller WNW and clean conditions.
- Same goes for next Monday.
NEWS OF THE WEEK:
2023 was a wild year for waves and weather around here. What was supposed to be La Nina conditions (i.e lower than average rainfall), saw plenty of rain, bombing swells to book end the year, and even a tropical storm. I'm sure I forgot to mention something; if so, here's some highlights (or lowlights depending on how you look at it) from the San Diego office of the National Weather Service:
And even though the storm tracks of most hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this summer weren't ideal for us surfers, it was active nonetheless due to an El Nino fueled ocean. Normally we'd have:
- 15 named storms
- 8 hurricanes
- and 4 major hurricanes...
For 2023 we ended up with:
- 17 named storms
- 10 hurricanes
- and 8 major hurricanes
El Nino is forecasted to last through the spring of 2024, so hopefully us wave & weather nerds will see some more of the same in the coming months.
PIC OF THE WEEK:
With the recent XXL groundswells and negative tides, mysto spots along the CA coast came to life. Like this gem in... wouldn't you like to know.
Keep Surfing,
Michael W. Glenn
Cool, Calm, & Collected
Best Man At Gerry & Theresa's Wedding
This Year's Triple Crown Champ By Default
Michael W. Glenn
Cool, Calm, & Collected
Best Man At Gerry & Theresa's Wedding
This Year's Triple Crown Champ By Default
