Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Surf Check



Looks like things are starting to get interesting- if you believe the models. But first, let's have a look at today.
Just tiny NW windswell and background SW swell- again- for knee high waves around town. It's also overcast this morning and the water is a pleasant 70 degrees. Wind is already blowing NW@5. Not much to report on really.
Tides the next few days are all over the place. About 0' at sunrise, up to 5.5' at 10am, down to 0' again late afternoon, and up to 5' at sunset.
Tomorrow looks to be small and then Thursday the OC gets a tiny bump out of the SW. Charts last week showed a storm on the edge of our swell window last week and that swell will give the OC some small waist high waves Thursday/Friday. Unfortunately for SD, not much down here.
The weather through the rest of the work week looks pretty tame- just some night and morning low clouds and fog with temps in the low 70's.
Models show a little storm trying to get it's act together today which could possibly send us some waist high+ SW towards Sunday and maybe chest high for the OC.
I applaud you for getting this far because this is where the real meat and potatoes of the story happens. Models this morning show clouds getting organized off mainland Mexico. If everything comes together, we should have a minimal hurricane by late Thursday/early Friday. That in itself isn't all that exciting since all the hurricanes this season have been running away from us- due W towards Hawaii- so we haven't gotten any surf from them.
But this one is different. Potential Hurricane Ivo is forecasted to move in a NNW direction- towards us- which would give us chest high waves in north county SD late Sunday/early Monday and head high surf in the OC. Definitely better than it has been around here lately. And models show a small knee high+ NW windswell taking shape around the same time so it may break up the S lines.
And if that wasn't enough, little Ivo should break apart late in the weekend and send us it's tropical moisture. I'm not expecting rain at the coast but the cool looking tropical clouds overhead would be a great addition to the fun surf. Now of course Ivo hasn't even formed yet so make sure to check Twitter/North County Surf for all the developments.