Friday, November 22, 2013

THE Surf Report


I'm running out of ways to say 'flat'.

SURF:
Actually had a couple fun little waves last weekend (it's amazing how waist high surf now gets me all fired up) and the past few days unfortunately have been dead flat.
We had some NW windswell pick up last night but with the windy conditions and dirty water from the rain run-off, it's not worth paddling out. This morning the NW is backing off and we have some waist high waves. Look for smaller conditions this weekend (i.e. flat) but the sun should return by Sunday.
Water temps have stayed around 63 and tides the next few days are around 3' at sunrise, up to 5' at 11am, and down to 1' at sunset. Make sure to keep up to date on the waves/weather at Twitter/North County Surf. 

FORECAST:

Still looking pretty small the next 5 or so days. BUT... we do have a small storm on the charts mid-week that should move into Southern California towards Thanksgiving afternoon into Friday morning.
That storm will hopefully give us chest high sets from the NW on Thursday. But the storm will probably give us stormy conditions too. So look for rideable waves but blown out at the same time.
After that, models show a solid storm forming the middle of next week too which would give us a real NW swell towards next Saturday. The storm hasn't even formed yet, but I'm praying I can get off my groveller and surf a real board for a change!

WEATHER:

Kind of cool to see some wet weather around here. Even though it's not the gnarly El Nino stuff I dig, I'll take a change in the seasons. Looks like we have another couple cloudy showery days ahead and by Sunday it starts to clear up around here. Weak high pressure sets up early in the week then by Wednesday another low pressure moves into Southern California. If you like a wet and windy Thanksgiving (or a white Christmas), then next week is right up your alley.

BEST BET:
Maybe that small junky NW on Thanksgiving or if the models hold true- a real swell next weekend.

NEWS OF THE WEEK:

If the lack of surf isn't driving me crazy, the wacky weather is. Models last week showed high pressure setting up shop this past Wednesday but instead we got rain. And a fair amount. Here's some preliminary totals the past few days:
-Lake Arrowhead 5"
-Huntington Beach 0.37"
-Laguna Hills 0.82"
-Carlsbad 0.52"
-San Diego 0.91"

So where are we at for rainfall this time of year?
-Newport Beach: 0.57". 29% of normal (should be at almost 2" by now)
-Oceanside: 0.54". 27% of normal (should be almost 2" by now)
-San Diego: 1.25". 88% of normal (should be 1.41" by now)
As you can see above, the rainfall this season has been sporadic from location to location. Basically we're still below our norms BUT... our 4 wettest months are still ahead; December to March. So we've still got a shot to hit our normal of 10" a year. So you're telling me there's a chance...

BEST OF THE BLOG:

With the lack of surf and sunshine lately, I thought you needed a little stoke. So I decided to break into the Pic of the Week archives and set up 1 of (soon to be) many galleries. Feast your eyes on what real waves look like. And of course a mid-week Surf Check and an in-depth THE Surf Report; all of that and more in the blog below!

PIC OF THE WEEK:

Seriously, I have NO idea where this wave is. All I know is that's it's breaking pretty far out, there's a fair amount of water moving around, and there's those cool fingers of reef on the inside. If you know where this place is- I've got $20 for ya.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
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