THE Surf Report- Late Night Edition

I'm done waiting.

SURF:
The OC had some fun surf this past week. For us- not so much. A couple straight angle S swells from the tropics and Antarctica gave our comrades to the north some fun shoulder high waves and down here it's been struggling to be waist high plus. Same goes for tomorrow as most of the S swells are hitting the OC and north county SD is left with waist high+ waves.

We do though have some swell from Hurricane Iselle that will filter in on Sunday but unfortunately it's only a minimal status hurricane with winds of 80mph and it's moving W towards Hawaii (away from us- not so good). Look for waist high waves around town and some chest high sets towards the OC.

Tides the next few days are about 1' at sunrise, up to 4.5' after lunch, and down to 2' at sunset. Water is nice again with temps about 73 most everywhere. Make sure to keep up to date on the waves/weather at Twitter/North County Surf.

FORECAST:

After a slow weekend, things start to heat up from a storm a few days ago in the southern hemisphere. Look for chest high waves to start filling in late Monday and peaking with shoulder high sets on Tuesday with the OC (of course) getting head high sets.

That same storm built some steam and sent out another pulse of slightly bigger swell that will arrive towards next Friday with head high sets here and overhead waves in the OC.

Charts also show more clouds trying to take shape in the tropics and we may get more hurricane swell later next week IF... it doesn't head W towards Hawaii (again).

Models also show storms off Antarctica being more active so we may get more good SW swell around the middle of August.

WEATHER:

Not to be left out, the weather is trying to be active too. We have monsoon moisture from the deserts headed our way tomorrow afternoon and at the same time a small weak low pressure system from the Pacific is forecasted to bump into it late Saturday. If that happens, it may fire thunderstorm activity around our coasts. That should clear out by Sunday afternoon. Models then show more extensive low clouds/fog returning next week for cooler milder weather.

BEST BET:
Probably late in the week when that good SW arrives AND... if that forecasted hurricane can get it's act together.

NEWS OF THE WEEK:

We all know things have been heating up the past few months due to the normal summer weather. But any influence from Global Warming or El Nino? Here’s the latest from NOAA:

Global Highlights:
• The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for June 2014 was the highest on record for the month, at 0.72°C (1.30°F) above the 20th century average of 15.5°C (59.9°F).
• The global land surface temperature was 0.95°C (1.71°F) above the 20th century average of 13.3°C (55.9°F), the seventh highest for June on record.
• For the ocean, the June global sea surface temperature was 0.64°C (1.15°F) above the 20th century average of 16.4°C (61.5°F), the highest for June on record and the highest departure from average for any month.
• The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for the January–June period (year-to-date) was 0.67°C (1.21°F) above the 20th century average of 13.5°C (56.3°F), tying with 2002 as the third warmest such period on record.

For the ocean, the June global sea surface temperature was record warm, at 0.64°C (1.15°F) above the 20th century average of 16.4°C (61.5°F). This marks the first time that the monthly global ocean temperature anomaly was higher than 0.60°C (1.08°F) and surpasses the previous all-time record for any month by 0.05°C (0.09°F); the previous record of +0.59°C (1.06°F) was first set in June 1998 and tied in October 2003, July 2009, and just last month in May 2014. Similar to May, scattered sections across every major ocean basin were record warm. Notably, large parts of the western equatorial and northeastern Pacific Ocean and nearly all of the Indian Ocean were record warm or much warmer than average for the month. Although neither El Niño nor La Niña conditions were present across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean during June 2014, the ocean waters in that region continued to trend above average. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center estimates that there is about a 70 percent chance that El Niño conditions will develop during Northern Hemisphere summer 2014 and 80 percent chance it will develop during the fall and winter.

PIC OF THE WEEK:

Ever heard of a rogue wave? It's where a couple waves morph into one giant one. Seems as though they take down ships in the middle of the ocean unexpectedly. As far as surfing goes, we'd be pretty stoked if one of these things just popped up out of nowhere. But of course you'd need a Swiss Army board where your 5'10" can instantly turn into a 6'10" with the push of a button.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
Meteoric
Debut Album #3 On the Charts
Lobbying to Have A Hurricane Named After Me