THE Surf Report- Early Edition

How do you turn this thing on?

SURF:

Been so long since I turned on the Emergency Boardriding System that I forgot how it works. Plus it's dusty, full of cobwebs, and I'm hoping rats didn't gnaw the wires. 

Lucky for us, there's already good WNW filling in on the Central Cal buoys tonight so we should see some sets in the AM with more consistent surf by Saturday morning. Fire up the hype machine! But first things first: Our first real storm of the season from the Aleutians is sending good WNW swell our way for Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. Look for chest high sets in the AM and head high surf by Saturday morning with overhead waves in SD. By Sunday the swell is on its way down but we'll still have waist to chest high surf. We also have some waist high S swell in the water from Tropical Storm Lowell but it will be overrun by the new WNW. And here's the tides, sun, and water info:

• Sunrise and sunset:
• 6:40 AM sunrise   
• 6:39 PM sunset  

• And our water temps are in the high 60's. Supposedly... there's a heat wave coming next week- maybe we'll be back to the low 70's by next weekend?

• And the tides this weekend are simple:
• 4.5' at breakfast
• 2' after lunch
• 5' at sunset

FORECAST:

I sure hope I put batteries in the Emergency Boardriding System 'cause we're going to need it for next week too. 

After the WNW runs it course this weekend, new late season SW starts to fill in Monday afternoon for chest high surf and back to head high sets by Tuesday morning. That starts to fizzle by Wednesday afternoon. The storm that generated this new swell would have given us bigger surf but it was aimed towards South America so we'll just get a glancing blow. But back to back head high swells the next 7 days is nothing to sneeze at. 

After that, the Pacific takes a little breather the 2nd half of next week but maybe by late next weekend we'll see more fun sized chest high sets from the WNW and after that- more chest high surf from the southern hemisphere around the 5th. Make sure to check out Twitter/North County Surf if anything changes between now and then.

BEST BET: 

Late Friday/early Saturday with good WNW. Or late Monday/early Tuesday with good SW. So many waves and so little time. 

WEATHER:

The Aleutian storm mentioned above will pass by to our N and we'll have pleasant fall weather down here Friday and Saturday. Look for typical low clouds/fog in the nights/mornings and temps in the low 70's at the beaches. As that storm exits the western US, high pressure starts to build behind it and unfortunately a Santa Ana condition sets up for the majority of next week. Look for offshore winds for most of the deserts, mountains, and inland valleys and most likely calm winds at the beaches. Don't get me wrong, I like the nice weather, but the offshore winds and low humidities lead to critical fire weather of course. Temps at the beaches should peak in the mid-80's late next week. 

NEWS OF THE WEEK: 

This day in weather history! (Try to contain your excitement):

1997: Heavy rain and thunderstorms developed on this day and ended on 9/26. Moisture came from the remnants of Hurricane Nora, which had moved up the Gulf of California and weakened over Yuma, AZ, giving that city more rainfall in three hours than for a normal entire season. Rainfall totals were 5.50 inches at Mt. San Jacinto, 4.70 inches Mt. Laguna, 4.41 inches Mt. San Gorgonio, three to four inches at several other locations in mountains, 3.07 inches in Twentynine Palms, 1.5 to two inches at Coachella and Borrego Valleys, 2.88 inches in Hemet, and one to two inches in many inland areas. Flooding occurred in Palm Springs, Borrego Springs, and Spring Valley. Traffic deaths also resulted.

1986: Unseasonable rainfall hit San Diego County on this day and on 9/25: 1.04 inches fell in San Diego, 5.14 inches in Palomar Mountain, 2.07 inches in Julian, 1.95 inches in Los Angeles, 1.88 inches in Mt. Laguna, 1.61 inches in Lemon Grove, 1.58 inches in Pt. Loma, 1.57 inches in Vista, and 1.47 inches at SDSU. Flooding occurred in low roadways in Mission Valley. Power was knocked out over a wide area. Home games for the Angels and Dodgers were rained out.

1982: The remnants of Hurricane Olivia recurved northeastward across Southern California with rainfall up to four inches in the mountains starting on this day and ending on 9/26. This occurred during the strong El Niño of 1982-83. 

1976: A thunderstorm dropped four inches of rain in three hours in Borrego Valley. Only 1.2 inches fell at the Anza Borrego Desert State Park headquarters. Damage and erosion to fields, property, and the airport resulted. 

1963: Thunderstorms hit the San Bernardino Mountains and high desert around Barstow, producing flash flooding east of Barstow. 

1945: It was 26° in Idyllwild, the lowest temperature on record for September. This also occurred the previous day on 9/23/1945, on 9/20/1965, and on 9/21/1968.

1939: A thunderstorm on this day dropped 6.45 inches in six hours at Indio. This preceded “El Cordonazo” or “The Lash of St. Francis”, an actual tropical storm. For the entire storm, which started on this day and ended on 9/26, four inches of rain fell across the deserts and mountains as a dying tropical cyclone moved across Baja California into southwestern Arizona. This was the second tropical cyclone to impact California during the busy month of September 1939. A strong El Niño may have contributed to the activity. The tropical storm produced 50 mph winds over the ocean and estimated seas of 40 feet. 48 died from sinking boats and harbors were damaged. Californians were generally unprepared and were alerted to their vulnerability to tropical storms. In response, the weather bureau established a forecast office for Southern California, which began operations in February of 1940.

PIC OF THE WEEK:

Indo, Australia, Japan, the East Coast, and Europe have ben really good lately. Is it our time finally?

 

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn

El Guapo

Gravity Defying

My Wife Is Throwing Me A Party Wave For My Next Birthday