Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Surf Check

Man is it a hot one out there today- and we've got at least another couple days of this. But first to the surf.
Had a solid southern hemi swell show up on Saturday- just as a late season storm was passing through. Should have been good on Saturday with the combo SW/NW swells but instead the 20-30mph NW winds tore it to shreds. Sunday morning though was firing if you got on it early then the SW winds blew mid morning. Today we still have fun SW/NW in the water for chest high waves and amazing conditions. Wind is currently blowing offshore around 10-20mph and the air temp was already 75 at 5am this morning. Look for both swells to back off slightly tomorrow and we'll have some waist high+ surf with better sets towards the OC as it will pick up remnants of the SW.
Water temps are all over the place as the offshore winds are causing upwelling in some areas. Point Loma is report 64 degrees while at the other end of the spectrum, Scripps is reporting 56. Ouch. Oceanside and Torrey Pines buoys report 62 but I think that may drop a few degrees tomorrow as the offshore winds keep blowing.
As far as our weather goes, this 'Santa Ana' wind event is a lot stronger than I expected just a few days ago. Models were showing temps in the mid-80's at the beaches but we've already hit that by 10am today and will probably hit the mid-90's. Look for the winds to back off slightly tomorrow but temps to still be in the 90's. By Friday it starts to cool down- just slightly to the mid-80's- as high pressure weakens from an approaching cold front up north. We may even get fog by Sunday and temps near normal- 75 degrees. Next week the models hint at a shot of showers around Tuesday but I'm taking that news with a grain of salt.
So what's our surf doing? Not much unfortunately. High pressure is effectively blocking our storms at sea in the northern hemisphere and the southern hemisphere has gone quiet after that big SW swell last weekend. We've got a couple little NW swells on the charts for the weekend but we'll only see waist high waves here with maybe chest high sets in SD.
Further out, if those showers develop like I mentioned above, we may get more waist-chest high NW windswell by Tuesday/Wednesday.
As far as the southern hemisphere goes, it's still pretty quiet but models show a storm on the edge of our swell window trying to take shape in a couple days. Unfortunately it would be a SSE swell- which would bypass us and most of the OC- but select S swell spots may see some chest high waves from it around May 8th.

So until then, enjoy the summer type weather.