Tuesday, February 17, 2015

Surf Check



Not to sound spoiled or anything, but it looks bad out there today. I know, I know, I should be grateful for the last month of surf and amazing weather- but I want more damnit! Not going to find it today unfortunately.
Great surf and weather last Tuesday and again over the weekend has been replaced by overcast skies, temps in the high 60's, and a flat ocean. At least the water temps are 5-6 degrees warmer than usual at 62 degrees and I can keep the 4/3 fullsuit locked away in the closet.
Whatever tiny NW/SW may be out there today is also getting played by the extreme 8' tide swings. We've got a 6.5' tide right after sunrise, bottoming out to -1.5' mid afternoon, and it only rises to 1' at sunset.

So if the waves are flat today, what's the weather at least doing? Models have high pressure building slightly tomorrow for a little less low clouds/fog and temps rebounding to the low 70's. Then we've got some clouds headed our way again late Thursday into the weekend. That may actually give us a shot of sprinkles. Bam! Winter has returned to southern California. Take that East Coast. Nothing major of course but the clouds will stick around most of the weekend and the bikinis will be vacant from the beaches.
The good news is that the slight warm up tomorrow will coincide with more WNW swell on Wednesday. Look for shoulder high waves in town again and head high waves in SD. On it's heels is another storm taking shape today in the Pacific. It looks impressive on the models but it's forecasted to die off before it makes a real push towards our coastline. Look for chest high waves though by Saturday and shoulder high sets in SD.
And if you don't mind the clouds this weekend and a fun little WNW, then the forecasted chest high SW swell arriving late Friday into Saturday will make up for the dreary conditions. Should be lots of fun waves to go around even though it will be cool. Charts also show some storms forming off Antarctica late next week which would give us good SW towards the end of the month. Nothing's concrete yet but you'll be the first to know.