Thursday, February 12, 2015

THE Surf Report


So far so good.

SURF:
Been a good winter so far, I must confess. As you know, I was hoping for a bombing El Nino winter and it's not really happening- but plenty of fun waves and Santa Ana winds are tempering my disappointment.
We had a fun week of swell and great weather again and we've got more of the same this weekend. New WNW is filling in tonight and we'll have shoulder high waves tomorrow and great weather- again. Tomorrow looks to be the last off the 'Santa Ana' offshore wind event, but Saturday and Sunday will still have great conditions and holding WNW swell.
Water is holding at 60 degrees and tides the next few days are 4' at sunrise, down to 0' at lunch, and up to 3' at sunset. Make sure to keep up to date on the waves/weather at Twitter/North County Surf

FORECAST:

Looking small to start the workweek but models are showing more NW showing up late next week for shoulder high sets again. And on it's heels is more NW early in the week of February 20th. The southern hemisphere is starting to come alive but none of the storms are aimed our way. Hopefully the models are wrong and we'll get SW towards the 3rd week of the month.

WEATHER:

Another great week of San Diego winter weather. Tomorrow and Saturday will be no different with the last of the 'offshores' on Friday and calmer winds on Saturday. We've got a transition day on Sunday as the low clouds start to return but we've still got nice weather in the low 70's that lasts through Wednesday. And as luck would have it, models show high pressure setting up again the 2nd half of next week for more sunny skies and temps in the high 70's again.

BEST BET:
Tomorrow's the day with fun WNW in the water and great weather. Or try your luck next Friday as models show more WNW arriving AND great weather again. Groundhog Day!

NEWS OF THE WEEK:

I'm pretty much ready to write off El Nino except the 'experts' still stay there's a 50% chance of big storms headed our way the next couple of months. But that doesn't do us any good in the near future as we haven't had a real storm in over a month and there's nothing on the charts for at least the next 7 days. So where do we stand on our rainfall so far this season? Here's the latest:

  • Newport Beach: 4.52" of rain so far. Only 69% of normal.
  • Oceanside: 4.95" of rain so far. Only 78% of normal.
  • San Diego: 5.32" of rain so far. 117% of normal.

Considering we're almost a month away from spring, storms will start to become fewer and farther between- with our without the El Nino. Normal rainfall for the season is around 10" in SD and 13" in Newport; as you can see, we've only had about 5" so far- and getting closer to the drier months of spring isn't helping.

PIC OF THE WEEK:


If Sir-Mix-A-Lot were a surfer, he'd be a local at this place. I like big barrels and I can not lie!

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
Miracle Worker
Enshrined at Canton
Mount Rushmore of Surfing: Duke, Slater, Curren and Glenn