Actually had some fun background NW/SW today. But as advertised on the North County Surf blog this past Friday, the fall weather has taken hold and we had some cool breezy conditions to mess things up. Nothing major (yet) but it wasn't that classic summer weather we've had the past few weeks.
Good news it that we'll have more NW/SW tomorrow for chest high sets. Bad news is that the weather gets a little uglier (or prettier if you're a weather guy like me).
We've got our first cold weather system moving down the Pacific tonight. It won't be a big one- probably 1/4"+ of rain at the coast Thursday/Friday. But with the relatively warm water we have this time of year (about 70) the cold air above will mix with the warm water below and BOOM! a chance of thunderstorms late tomorrow and Wednesday. Hopefully it will bring a little excitement around here. Air temps are also supposed to hit the mid-60's at most. Definitely not the low 90's like we had at the end of September. Once the low pressure system exits the region on Friday night, high pressure fills in behind it for nice weather this weekend and temps in the mid-70's.
Now if you want to get a little of the SW/NW combo AND dodge some lightening, then the tides the next few days are 4.5' at sunrise, down to 2' at lunch, and back up to 5' at sunset.
Luckily for us, the little storm off our coast will also kick up some WNW swell on Thursday. Look for chest high waves in north county SD and some shoulder high+ sets in south SD. That lasts into Friday.
As far as the SW swells go, we had a good storm form under Australia a few days ago, then get split in half and dissipate when it hit New Zealand and into our swell window. I was hoping for good surf around the 13th/14th but now I'm doubting it.
At least the north Pacific is coming to life. The chart above shows a northerly swell forming around the 16th which would lead to surf around the 18th. And there's also a hurricane on the chart too but that's a long way from forming- and it's mid-October which seems especially late.
Long story short, look for fun NW swell the 2nd half of this week but junky conditions and nice weather this weekend but not much surf.
