Thursday, June 26, 2014

THE Surf Report- Early Edition


Not big. But darn fun.

SURF:
This is the way summer is supposed to be: Fun surf, warm water, and the sun comes out by mid-day.
Lots of SW/NW this past week to give us chest high+ waves in town and head high+ waves in the OC.
We have more SW filling in tomorrow as well as a holding NW windswell for more chest high waves here and shoulder high sets towards the OC. The only fly in the ointment is that June Gloom may hang around a little longer than usual tomorrow- but hey- we've had great weather so far this year so I can't complain. The combo swell holds on Saturday then starts to back off on Sunday while the weather starts to improve- kind of a Catch 22. In regards to our water temps, Oceanside was 71 today, Dana Point 72, and La Jolla had a reading of 73. Pretty amazing for the BEGINNING of summer. I'm guessing we'll be in the high 70's a few days this August. I'm talking about water temps here people. Unreal.
Tides the next few days are all over the place; about -1' at sunrise, up to 4' before lunch, down slightly to 2' late afternoon, and up to 5' at sunset. The early morning clouds tomorrow, maybe a hint of S wind, and the negative tide may make it look pretty ugly first thing. But hang in there! The afternoon should look more appealing. Make sure to keep up to  date on the waves/weather at Twitter/North County Surf.

FORECAST:

After the SW/NW backs off on Sunday, we get a small late season NW groundswell/windswell combo on Monday. Look for waist high+ waves here and chest high waves in SD.
By mid-week, the NW windswell continues and models hint at a little hurricane trying to get it's act together. If that's the case, the OC may get some chest high waves from it towards Thursday.
On it's heels for the 4th of July weekend is a fun SW swell arriving on Friday. Look for chest high+ waves here and shoulder high+ waves for the OC. All in all some fun waves next week and great weather (more on that below)

WEATHER:

We've got a late season cold front moving through the western states tonight that will make the June Gloom last a little longer tomorrow. Hoping to see some sun at the beaches on Friday but it will be dicey. Good news is that high pressure builds this weekend and we'll have great weather going into Sunday. Early next week we're a few degrees above normal with air temps in the mid to high 70's, less low clouds and fog in the night/mornings, and that should last into the July 4th weekend. Models also hint at our first surge of monsoon moisture rolling into the desert SW. Hopefully it's the start of 'tropical' type weather for us at the beaches by mid-July. 

BEST BET:
Tomorrow should be fun with small combo swell but the weather may be a bit ugly. So I'm claiming July 4th- more SW if the models hold, a continuation of the NW windswell, and great weather. Plus water temps holding in the low 70's. Support your local surf shop and buy some new boardies this week! (Just wanted to throw that in there).
 
NEWS OF THE WEEK:

So the winter that never was is officially coming to a close this weekend. And by that I mean the rainy season of July 1st, 2013 to June 30th, 2014. Barring any monsoons this weekend (which I'm pretty confident we can rule out), we officially had:

-Newport Beach: 3.64" of rain. 34% of normal
-Oceanside: 4.20" of rain. 31% of normal
-San Diego: 5.06" of rain. 49% of normal

So there you have it. The rain gauges showed less than 50% of normal for our season. Considering we've had years upon years of below normal rain, this is a problem. So how do we solve it? El Nino of course. If the upcoming '14/'15 El Nino this winter is anything like the '69/'70, '82/'83, or '97/'98 winters, we should get somewhere in the neighborhood of 15-20" of rain. Unbelievable if you think about it. One major El Nino storm will drop around 2-3" of rain; just about the same amount Newport Beach had the ENTIRE season this year. My word of advice: Get your house prepared before October...

PIC OF THE WEEK:

Not the biggest wave nor the biggest barrel but there's no way I'd turn my back on this thing. We'll, I'm goofyfoot, so technically I'd have to turn my back to ride this thing, but you know what I mean.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
More Interesting Than The Most Interesting Man In The World
Survived The Group of Death
Guinness World Record Holder, Most Spray, 25.7 Gallons