Tuesday, September 9, 2014

Surf Check

Gotta love this time of year. Especially with an enhanced El Nino condition. We've got water temps in the mid to high 70's (La Jolla reported 77.9 degrees yesterday afternoon), plenty of hurricane activity, we're only 2 weeks away from fall so the north Pacific is heating up, the southern hemisphere isn't completely dead yet, and the weather is darn fine. I wonder what the people of Iowa are doing today?
I know what I'm doing today. Catching the tail end of Hurricane Norbert. We've got some chest high+ S swell left with the OC hitting shoulder high sets. Water is warm of course and the sun is already out. We also have a small touch of NW so the beachbreaks are peaky.
Beware the tides though! We've got a 2' tide at sunrise, up to 6' mid-morning, down to 0' at 4pm, and up to 4' at sunset.
Looks like the tropical clouds are done for awhile- meaning the next 4 days- then they return this weekend. But before then, we have nice weather forecasted and less humid conditions with temperatures in the mid-70's. High pressure sets up this weekend and we get more thunderstorm activity in the mountains/deserts and temps in the high 70's here. Pretty good if you ask me.
As Norbert dies tomorrow, we get a little boost from the southern hemisphere on Thursday for waist high+ waves in town and chest high+ waves in the OC.
Also combining with the SW is a little NW windswell on the charts. Thursday won't be big by any means, but we will have rideable little peaks. And did I tell you the water is floating around 76 degrees?
The north Pacific is starting to get into gear- which isn't a shock since we're only 12 days away from fall- and the models showed a little storm trying to organize yesterday. With any luck, SD should have some waist high+ NW for the weekend.
Not to be left out, the tropics off Mainland Mexico are trying to make Tropical Storm Odile this weekend. Models had it looking pretty impressive last night but have since backed off. Best case scenario is a little S swell for the OC towards Monday.
Ok- enough opening of the stocking stuffers. Let's open that big present under the Xmas tree. Models today are showing a solid storm forming under New Zealand. It may be short lived but I'm hoping we get a shot of head high+ SW towards next Tuesday. There's also another storm on the charts in the north Pacific that may give us more waist high NW around the same time but the real story is the SW.
But wait! There's more! Models also show are REAL hurricane forming off Baja in a few days which should give us a good S swell (maybe chest high here and overhead+ in the OC) around the middle of next week. If you're wondering, it's name will be 'Polo'. All in all some warm water the next few days, lots of storms on the horizon, and great weather.