Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Surf Check

Small NW swell today (with a touch of tiny SW) has been blown to bits this morning from persistent W winds. They started early and haven't stopped. Not strong winds mind you- just 10mph- but enough to make it look ugly this morning.
The winds and drizzle will last at least another day and then models have high pressure building slightly for the weekend. Look for mostly sunny skies and temps in the mid-70's at the beaches. Further out on the charts is a solid low pressure system off Canada that may slide south early next week. It looks like it won't roll through here but it may be strong enough to erode the high pressure and give us a shout of showers early next week. Hopefully we'll start to get a few cold fronts and rain around here if it opens the door.
So what's going on with our surf? Well... with the nice weather on tap this weekend, we'll get a shot of a couple fun NW swells. First up is a good one filling in Friday evening into Saturday morning. Look for head high waves here and overhead waves in SD. On it's heels is another NW filling in Sunday afternoon. Slightly smaller but still fun shoulder high waves and head high+ waves in SD. Then of course our weather may turn sour early next week and the waves depart with the nice weekend weather.
Charts show another NW arriving towards next Thursday- most likely waist to chest high- but it may not matter if our storm door is open and we have showers off and on next week. On it's heels though is a good storm on the charts which may arrive late Sunday the 24th or Monday the 25th. Still a long ways out- and it may bring stormy weather- but worth keeping our eye on.