Friday, November 28, 2014

THE Surf Report- Late Edition

Just woke up from my Thanksgiving slumber.

SURF:

Not much surf the past few days but new NW filled in on the buoys this afternoon. Unfortunately it peaks tonight but we at least have 1 more day of nice weather tomorrow to coincide with the leftover swell. Look for shoulder high sets from the NW tomorrow morning- overhead in SD- then it slowly fades into Sunday. We also get a slight chance of showers Sunday, so tomorrow is going to be the day.
Water temps are holding in the mid-60's and tides are 3' at sunrise, down to 2' mid-morning, and up to 4' late afternoon.  Make sure to keep up to date on the waves/weather at Twitter/North County Surf.

FORECAST:

Things start to take a turn for the worse (or better depending on your point of view) on Monday as the NW over the weekend fades to chest high sets and our first real storm of the season starts to move in late Monday. By Tuesday we should have moderate amounts of rain, steady S wind, and overhead storm surf. At least it will thin out the crowds. Conditions improve slightly during the work week and the NW swell starts to back down but there's nothing much on tap. Models show another storm forming in the Aleutians later in the work week that may give us a fun NW late next weekend so it bears watching.

WEATHER:

Is our feeble El Nino finally here? Models have been all over the place the past few days advertising moderate to heavy rain in southern California and now it looks like moderate rain is possible next week. Before I get ahead of myself though, tomorrow looks to be the last clean day, Sunday we may have light showers from our 1st system, Monday is between weather systems, then Tuesday the real rain comes and lasts into Wednesday from our 2nd system. All in all we should get 1+" of rain at the coast and a few inches in the mountains. This weather system will tap into tropical moisture so the snow levels should be fairly high unfortunately. At least we'll get good rains though. Showers linger into Thursday and Friday things may start to clear up (and hopefully our water quality).

BEST BET:
Tomorrow as we have leftover NW swell and clean conditions. Or Tuesday for those of you with a sick sense of humor as we'll have overhead storm surf, strong S winds, and victory at sea conditions.

NEWS OF THE WEEK:

Considering we’re on track to get our 1st real rain since, well probably 1996 (I’m kidding of course), I thought a little weather facts from this day in history would be appropriate…

2009: It rained in San Diego for the first time since 6/16! This ended a consecutive dry streak of 164 days in San Diego, which started on 6/17. This streak of 164 days is tied as the fourth longest dry streak on San Diego record. This day also marks the latest end to any dry streak on record. (The longest dry streak on record is 182 days from 4/8/2004 to 10/16/2004).

1989: Strong Santa Ana winds produced gusts to 70 mph at the Rialto Airport. Several tractor- trailer trucks were overturned east of Los Angeles.

1981: A storm that started on 11/27 and ended on this day dumped nearly two inches of rain in the LA area. Three feet of new snow were recorded at Big Bear Lake. Highway deaths resulted.

1975: The first winter storm of season was a heavy one. It started on this day and ended on 11/29. Up to two feet of snow fell in the San Bernardino Mountains, including 16 inches at Big Bear Lake. Twenty stranded campers were rescued after a few days. 12 inches of snow fell in Idyllwild, the greatest daily snowfall on record for November. This also occurred on 11/10/1982.

1970: A series of storms struck the region from 11/25 to 11/30 following large destructive wildfires in the San Bernardino and San Gabriel Mountains earlier in the fall. 9.17 inches of precipitation fell in Lake Arrowhead, 7.22 inches in Lytle Creek, 5.11 inches in Big Bear Lake, 5.02 inches in Palomar Mountain, 3.56 inches in San Bernardino, 2.63 inches in Redlands, 2.51 inches in Santa Ana, and 2.05 inches in San Diego. Flooding inundated streets and highways in the Rancho Cucamonga area. At least 60 homes were damaged by floods and debris flows.

1919: The low temperature was 36° in San Diego and 24° in Santa Ana, each the lowest temperature on record for November.

PIC OF THE WEEK:

J-Bay and Maalaea aren't the only places in the world with freight train rights. Not sure where this place is but I there's a locomotive that can take you there.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
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