Friday, November 25, 2011

THE Surf Report 11/25/11


Summer: The Sequel.

SURF:

No real surf this week ‘til Thanksgiving hit- then BAM! Good shoulder high NW swell lit up SD and north OC with clean conditions. The supposed weak storm that was on the charts for Thanksgiving was really weak. Lucky for us the swell and conditions coincided for good surf all day. Today we’ve got even better weather and a peaking NW with smaller Hurricane Kenneth swell underneath. The NW is most dominant so south county SD is the best bet with head high+ sets.

Luckily for us there’s more NW off the OR/WA coast this morning and it will continue feeding our NW swell through tomorrow morning. Sunday looks pretty small with waist high+ waves around town with south SD the best bet again with chest high waves. All in all it’s looking pretty fun today and tomorrow with great conditions so no complaints.

Tides as you know are pretty crazy this weekend- about 7’ at 8AM, down to -1.5’ at 3pm, and up slightly to 0’ at sunset. Make sure to choose your spots wisely! Water temps are sitting at 60. Keep up to date on the waves and weather at North County Surf/Twitter. 

FORECAST:
After the dominant NW fades Saturday, we’ve got another smaller NW lined up for Monday for chest high waves in north county SD/OC and shoulder high sets in south SD. Southern OC will be pretty small. After that it’s looking meager on the charts.

There’s some small southern hemi swell moving up the coast that will have waist high+ waves in the OC mid-week.

Then a small NW for waist high+ waves  the 2nd half of the week in SD. And the low clouds return (more on that below) towards Wednesday. Looking like a bummer in the future.  

WEATHER:

Great weather on tap the next few days. After the weak storm rolled through yesterday morning, high pressure started to set up behind it and now we’ve got warm temps at the beaches as well as sunny skies as far as the eye can see. Combine that will fun swell today and tomorrow and you’ve got a good start to the 4 day weekend. Temps amazingly will get near 80 degrees Saturday through Monday- feels like summer around here. We’ve got a weak trough on the charts for the 2nd half of the week and it looks like a return of the low clouds Wednesday afternoon through maybe Saturday. Combine that with small surf and it’s looking pretty ugly next weekend.

BEST BET:
Fantastic weather today and tomorrow along with good NW and smaller S underneath and you’ve got a Best Bet today AND tomorrow. The 2 pitfalls I see are the big tide swings and everyone and their brother hitting the surf over the long weekend so pick the right time and tide to paddle out!

NEWS OF THE WEEK:
Now that we have a little break in the rain for the next few days, how’s our rainfall totals looking so far in this ‘dry’ La Nina winter season? Glad you asked! Here’s the latest totals:

-          John Wayne Airport (central OC). From July 1- November 24th normal is 2.1”. To date this season we’ve had 2” (95% of normal). Last year we had 3.33” at this time. Total average rainfall is 12.76”

-          Oceanside Airport. From July 1- November 24th normal is 2.08”. To date this season we’ve had 2.84” (137% of normal). Last year we had 5.23” at this time. Total average rainfall is 12.94”

-          Lindbergh Field (downtown SD). From July 1- November 24th normal is 1.53”. To date this season we’ve had 3.71” (242% of normal). Last year we had 3.06” at this time. Total average rainfall is 10.77”

In summary- looking pretty good considering we’re supposed to be below normal because of the La Nina that’s set up shop. One note though, I’ve seen lots of winters where we get a ton of rain October to December then January to March goes dry. Let’s keep our fingers crossed the run of good rains continues through next spring.

BEST OF THE BLOG:

Why should the masses get all the Black Friday deals? Check out these surf related Black(‘s Beach) Friday deals at the North County Surf blog! Or see Taylor Steele’s new video Momentum 3 (actually it’s Ross, Dorian, Rob, and Kalani surfing small Haleiwa last week). Or the mid-week Surf Check and a more detailed THE Surf Report. All of that and more in the blog below.

PIC OF THE WEEK:

Slabs are so in fashion now. Waves that are wider than they are taller are all the rage. But it seems to be getting out of hand- guys are trying to ride slabs that are 20’+ now and they can’t even paddle into them anymore. That’s why I like this old fashioned slab- a couple feet overhead, no jet skis in sight, and big enough to drive a Mac Truck (err, Honda Prius) through.

Keep Surfing,

Michael W. Glenn
Six-foot-four And Full of Muscles
Ol’ St. Mick
Patenting Asymmetrical Boogie Boards